1. Summary

$LTC is in a side/down phase after rejection; prioritize waiting for volume + close above 123.40 before opening a large position.

• Price: 115.70 USDT • Catalyst: network upgrades + fluctuations in hash/miner activity → causing market hesitation.

2. Market Overview

Short-term capital flow is affected by the overall BTC movement and network upgrade news; decreased mining difficulty may pull short-term selling pressure.

3. Technical Analysis

1H Bias: bearish-to-neutral — price below MA25/MA99, RSI ~43, the current action is in the range between 113.42 (S) and 123.40 (R); breakout above 123.4 with volume is a bull signal.

Key support: 113.42 (causing breakdown will test the 112–110 area). Important resistance: 123.40 → 130–135 next supply area.

4. Fundamental Analysis

Litecoin maintains its position as 'digital silver'; 2025 has many milestones (network/upgrade) but the tokenomics remains unchanged — the next halving is in 2027. Upgrade news + adoption drives interest but is not enough to change the fundamental on-chain structure.

5. Psychological Analysis

Sentiment: trading opportunities exist, but the market is taking profits at high levels (saw rejection), FOMO should be avoided — whales & miners' actions may create whipsaw.

6. Strategy

  • Probe entry: look for a pullback to 114.0–113.5 with small volume if the candle supports (pinbar/hammer) and sell-volume decreases.

  • Confirm entry: add when close > 123.40 on increased volume (confirming reclaim).

  • Stop-loss: set SL clearly below 112.00 (or strict: <113.00 for small probe).

  • TP1 / TP2: TP1 ~123.4–128, TP2 ~135–140; scale out when the price meets supply or volume weakens.

  • Exit triggers: breakdown <113.42 with increased volume, or strong BTC breakdown — cut early.