📈 Is the 3-year rising pattern valid?
- Yes, but with nuances: After the drop in 2022, Bitcoin has had an upward trend in 2023, 2024, and 2025 (up to August). However:
- It is not a uniform cycle: Intermediate corrections (e.g., February 2025) show that the rise is not linear.
- The traditional cycle is changing: Institutional influence (ETFs) is shortening cycles and reducing volatility, but also making the price depend more on macro factors.
- Outlook for 2025-2026:
- Short term: Technical corrections are likely (support at ~110,000-112,000 USD).
- Medium term: Many analysts expect Bitcoin to continue its upward trend post-halving, with possible highs towards the end of 2025 or 2026.
- Expected price range:
- 2025: Average price ~105,000
- 2026: Potential up to ~116,000
💡 Final recommendation:
- Don't rely solely on historical patterns: The crypto market is evolving with greater institutional participation, which can distort past cycles.
- Maintain a long-term view: The general trend remains upward due to scarcity and adoption, but be prepared for volatility.
- Diversify and manage risks: Consider that altcoins are also showing strong returns, but Bitcoin remains the leading asset.
