🔍 Current situation
- SOL price: $182.40, correction after testing resistance at $185.20.
- Technical levels:
- Support: $178–$175 (liquidity accumulation zone, matching on 15M and 1H TF).
- Resistance: $185.20 (local maximum), $192.50 (historical level).
- Indicators:
- RSI (14): 54 (neutral, no overbought conditions).
- MACD: Convergence of lines — a possible reversal upwards.
📊 Rationale for entering long position
1. Zone of interest ($178–$175)
- Strong support according to multi-timeframe analysis (15M + 1H).
- Historically, the price has bounced off this zone (see chart below).
- Accumulation of buy orders in the order book.
2. Fundamental drivers
- Increase in TVL in Solana DeFi to $4.2 billion (+18% over the month).
- Integration with Telegram via TON — influx of new users.
- Rumors about SOL-ETF in 2026.
3. Market context
- Altseason: Capital rotation from BTC to SOL and other altcoins.
- Correlation with ETH: If ETH breaks $4,500, SOL will gain additional momentum.
📌 Risks
1. Break of support at $175 → Possible pullback to $168–$165.
2. Macrofactors: Negative inflation data (CPI) could hit altcoins.
3. Competition: Ethereum and new L2 solutions (Arbitrum, Base) are capturing liquidity.
💡 Conclusion
- Optimal entry: $178–$175 with confirmation of rebound (doji 15M/1H).
- Main target: $192.50 (historical level).
- Risk management: Stop-loss is mandatory and move to breakeven upon rise.
> Rule: Do not risk more than 2–5% of capital in one trade.