Professional analysis of Bitcoin movement does not rely on a quick glance at the chart, nor on rumors or news. It is a systematic process that combines technical tools, reading price behavior, and understanding market dynamics. Let's start with the most important tools used by professional analysts.
**First, price structure analysis**
The professional analyst does not see the price as a number, but as a movement with logic. Bitcoin moves in waves, each wave has a beginning, peak, correction, and then a new wave. To understand this movement, you need to watch the peaks and troughs and determine whether the market is forming an upward, downward, or sideways trend.
If the peaks and troughs are gradually rising, this is an upward trend. If they are declining, this is a downward trend. If they are moving within a fixed range, the market is sideways, and trading in it is not recommended except with special strategies.
**Second, using moving averages professionally**
The moving average is a tool that gives you an idea of the overall trend, but the professional does not use it alone. They use the crossover of two moving averages of different time periods, such as a twenty-day average and a fifty-day average. If the short crosses above the long, this is a bullish signal. If it crosses below, this is a bearish signal.
But the most important thing is the price's position relative to the averages. If the price is above the two averages, and the trend is clear, this is a good time to look for a buy trade. However, if the price is below them, it is better to wait or look for a sell trade.
**Third, momentum analysis using advanced indicators**
The Relative Strength Index is just the beginning. The professional analyst uses indicators like MACD, which measures the difference between two moving averages, and provides precise entry and exit signals. When a bullish crossover appears in MACD, with positive momentum, this is a suitable time to enter. However, if a bearish crossover appears, this is a signal to exit or sell.
Also, the stochastic indicator gives an idea about overbought or oversold conditions, and is used to confirm signals, especially when it crosses specific levels.
**Fourth, volume analysis or trading volume**
Price without trading volume is weak movement. The professional analyst monitors trading volume with every price movement. If the price is rising with strong trading volume, this confirms the strength of the trend. However, if the price is rising but the volume is weak, it is a questionable movement and could be a trap.
Also, there are cases where a volume explosion occurs, and this is an indicator of the beginning of a strong movement, whether up or down. You must connect volume and price to understand market intent.
**Fifth, using technical patterns accurately**
Patterns like head and shoulders, double bottoms, and price channels are all powerful tools. The professional analyst does not just see the pattern but specifies its conditions precisely, such as the size of the pattern, the duration of formation, and the breakout level.
If a head and shoulders pattern appears, you must wait for a break of the neckline with strong trading volume to consider the signal confirmed. Early entry without confirmation can lead to losses.
**Sixth, combining tools to build a decision**
The professional analyst does not rely on a single tool. They combine trend, momentum, volume, and patterns, and look for agreement among them. If all tools give the same signal, this is a time to enter. However, if there is a conflict, it is better to wait until the picture becomes clear.
**Seventh, professional trade management**
After entering, you must set a clear target and a logical stop loss. The professional does not set a random stop loss; rather, they determine it below a strong support level or above a clear resistance. The target must also be realistic, based on previous price movement, not just a wish.
**Final Advice**
Professional analysis is both an art and a science. It is not learned in a day, but every step brings you closer to a true understanding of the market. Do not rely on ready-made signals; rather, learn how to build your decision yourself, and understand why the price moves, where it might go, and when you should enter or exit.
