Is it really true that we can no longer count on an alt season? Bitcoin and Ethereum just adjusted slightly, and the alt market is collapsing again! Many people are losing their minds!

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Let me share my thoughts:

Conclusion: If you have sufficient funds, now is still the best time to hoard coins.

The most effective indicator for measuring the so-called alt season is Bitcoin's share of the total market capitalization, or more directly, the Alt Season Index.

When Bitcoin's share of the total market capitalization is at least below 50%, I think that's when the alt market is at its peak.

If you look at the Alt Season Index, it should be above 50, which means it's at its peak.

That's when it's time to sell.

Many people say this index is completely outdated and has no reference value. This cycle is all about institutional bulls, Bitcoin and Ethereum, and nothing else has a chance.

If that's the case, if everyone wants to achieve greater returns in the market, is leveraged futures trading the only option?

Look at how the A-share market has developed over the years. Moutai has always been a leader, and the index accounts for such a large portion of the market capitalization. Why are people still constantly speculating on bullish stocks and sectors?

Why not just buy the Shanghai Composite Index, Moutai, and other leading stocks directly?

So, there's still potential in altcoins. Don't wait for a surge before asking, "OK, it's going strong, can I buy it now? BNB is so strong, can I buy it now?"

So, if you have a strong risk tolerance, now is still a good time to invest in some good altcoins.

Because no one can predict whether it will fall or rise again in the short term, you can only ask yourself whether you can withstand further declines and whether you still have the cash flow to invest sustainably.

In short, my long-term altcoin investments haven't moved yet, and Bitcoin and Ethereum aren't going to suddenly drop back below 2,000, attracting another wave of investors. I think if Ether can reach around 3350 this time, it's already reached its limit. If you can hold onto it, hold on; if not, sell off a bit. It's okay. In the short term, it might not even fall below 4000, but will bounce back up again.

Above 5000, it's time for altcoins to start showing up. In short, be prepared for the long term and always have enough money in your hands. Don't go all in! Don't go all in!Don't go all in!

You'll have your day. #山寨季何时到来？