. đ Technical Analysis Overview
ETH is currently consolidating, with short-term indicators suggesting lingering bearish pressure. On the 4-hour chart, both the MACD DIF and DEA lines continue trending lower, while the histogram remains in negative territory â a sign of ongoing weakness. On the daily timeframe, the KDJ has slipped into oversold levels, hinting at the possibility of a rebound. Key support lies at $4,200â$4,250; holding this range could spark a push toward $4,350â$4,400 resistance. Meanwhile, the narrowing Bollinger Bands point to an imminent breakout in either direction.
. đŻ Trading Strategy
Long bias: Consider partial entries around $4,200â$4,250, targeting $4,350â$4,400, with a stop-loss below $4,150.
Short bias: If ETH breaks beneath $4,200, a short setup becomes viable, with downside targets at $4,100â$4,150.
Medium/long-term: Monitor institutional inflows and ETF activity closely. A confirmed break above $4,400 would validate further accumulation and longer holding periods.
. đ Risk Management
Apply strict stop-loss discipline.
Keep short-term trade exposure capped at 5% of portfolio value.
Track market sentiment shifts carefully; sudden whale liquidations or retail panic selling could trigger sharp moves.
Watch ETH staking withdrawal volumes and broader macroeconomic signals for potential volatility drivers.
. đĄ Market Insights
The market currently reflects a divergence: institutional investors remain strongly bullish â highlighted by record ETH ETF inflows â while retail sentiment leans bearish. This dynamic offers long-term support but leaves near-term price action vulnerable to swings of up to 5% daily volatility. ETH is likely to continue oscillating within the $4,200â$4,400 range until a decisive breakout occurs.
đ Conclusion
ETH is weak in the short term but structurally sound in the long term. A risk-managed swing trading approach is recommended, with close attention to support at $4,200 and resistance near $4,400 as breakout triggers.
