🔹 Current Market Situation (18.08.2025)
Today’s session shows $XRP trading around $2.97, just below the psychological barrier of $3.00, which has recently acted as both support and resistance. The current trading range sits between $2.95 – $3.15, and the market is clearly in a search for balance.
On the 1H and 4H charts, momentum has slightly weakened – consecutive bearish candles are closing lower, signaling short-term selling pressure. However, the lack of strong lower wicks indicates that buyers are still trying to defend the current area, even if they are not showing full strength yet.
Volume: remains limited during declines, an important sign that the market is not entering panic selling. Declining volume suggests this move down is more likely a correction rather than the start of a major bearish trend.
RSI (1H, 4H): oscillates around 46–48, which is neutral but with a slight downward slope. If RSI dips toward 40–42, XRP would enter oversold conditions, which could favor a technical rebound.
MACD (1H): the signal line has crossed below the average, generating a short-term bearish signal. However, the histogram is not deepening significantly, which shows that selling pressure is not yet dominant.
🔹 Fibonacci Levels
Based on the last bullish impulse from $2.55 → $3.25, the key Fibonacci levels now act as important decision points:
38.2% – $2.97 → the current consolidation zone. Holding this area could fuel another bullish move.
50% – $2.90 → psychological and technical support. A break below would open the door for deeper correction.
61.8% – $2.82 → the most critical support. Losing this level would shift the mid-term sentiment to bearish.
Extension 1.618 – $3.60 → the main bullish target if the price breaks upward, often acting as a price magnet in a strong trend.
Currently, $XRP is fluctuating around 38.2%, typically the deciding point – either a bounce higher to resume the uptrend or further weakness toward deeper retracements.
🔹 Yesterday’s Recap (17.08.2025)
Yesterday, XRP attempted to hold above $3.15 – $3.20, but selling pressure dominated and pushed the price back below $3.00. This was a classic false breakout – bulls expected continuation toward $3.35, but the market quickly rejected higher levels.
The key element is that the decline occurred on moderate volume – this indicates large players are not exiting the market, but rather that short-term traders were taking profits. In practice, this may be setting the stage for another bullish attempt.
🔹 Outlook & Forecast
The outlook for $XRP in the coming sessions remains uncertain but critical, as the market is sitting in a decision zone.
If bulls defend the $2.90 – $2.97 area and volume increases, we could see another test of $3.15 – $3.20, followed by $3.35 – $3.50, with the broader target being the $3.60 extension.
If the price breaks below $2.82, deeper correction could follow, opening targets at $2.70 and $2.55 – the starting point of the last bullish impulse.
🔹 Trading Scenarios
🟢 LONG Scenario
Entry: $2.95 – $2.97 (defense of 38.2%)
Stop-Loss: $2.87
TP1: $3.15
TP2: $3.35
TP3: $3.60 (1.618 extension)
Recommendation: Consider long positions if we see bullish candles with clear lower wicks and rising volume – a sign of buyers regaining control.
🔴 SHORT Scenario
Entry: $2.90 (loss of 50% Fibo)
Stop-Loss: $3.05
TP1: $2.82
TP2: $2.70
TP3: $2.55
Recommendation: Short positions make sense only if $2.90 is broken with increasing sell volume and MACD confirms bearish momentum.
🔹 Summary
XRP is currently at a make-or-break level – balancing between continuation of the uptrend and the start of a deeper correction. The market’s decision in the coming days will be crucial for the next major move.
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