Bitcoin short-term holders are facing low profits, but selling pressure remains at a very low level, reflecting confidence in a sustainable upward price trend.
The group of short-term Bitcoin investors, despite poor profits, continues to hold, hoping for a price recovery. History shows that when selling pressure hits a low, the market often prepares for the next bounce.
MAIN CONTENT
The profits of short-term Bitcoin holders have continuously been below 5% for the past 10 months.
The level of active selling risk from this group is at a historically low level, indicating a strong 'hold' trend.
Reduced selling pressure often precedes price recoveries, and Bitcoin's prospects depend on the actions of the short-term investment group.
How are the profits of short-term Bitcoin holders currently?
According to statistics from CryptoQuant, in the past 10 months, the actual profits of short-term Bitcoin holders have never exceeded 5%. This data shows that the short-term holding group has not gained much benefit, despite the price continuously setting ATH.
The average actual profit of short-term Bitcoin holders over the past 10 months has always been below 5%, with SOPR fluctuating around a neutral level of 1.
Darkfost, CryptoQuant Analyst, 2025, quoted from CryptoQuant
The SOPR index of this group remains below 1.05, meaning most short-term holders entered when the trend had already risen sharply and the main price increase wave was nearing its end. This results in a low likelihood of taking profits, causing the amount held to increase rapidly in a loss state.
Data from Checkonchain indicates: the supply of short-term holders in a loss state surged from 190.3K BTC to 1.27 million BTC. The fact that many short-term investors bought at the peak is the reason for the continuously increasing loss ratio.
What are the reasons for the low profits of short-term holders?
It is evident that short-term holders often join late in the price increase wave, causing them to buy at high prices, so profit margins are narrow. When Bitcoin's price adjusts downward, they immediately fall into a loss state.
Most short-term holders joined when the market had already risen sharply, so their potential for profit is low and they are easily susceptible to losses when prices adjust.
CryptoQuant, On-chain Analysis, 2025
The most recent event recorded after many pullback phases, the volume of short-term holders holding Bitcoin is at a low level, profits are negligible but they do not sell off, creating a foundation for subsequent recoveries.
Short-term holders continue to 'hold' despite losses, what is happening?
Although most buy orders are at a loss, short-term holders still choose to hold rather than sell. Checkonchain's sell-side risk data shows this index has dropped to 0.0007 - a very low level compared to history.
When the sell-side risk index drops to the bottom range, selling pressure is nearly depleted, and the market often lies in a consolidation area to form a bottom.
Checkonchain, On-chain Data Report, 2025
The trend of holding rather than selling off often appears when investors expect a recovery. In fact, from the beginning of the month until now, there have not been many significant movements between young coins and old coins, indicating a collective 'hold' action in the short-term group.
What impact does the silence of short-term holders have on the Bitcoin market?
The stagnation of this group reduces selling pressure in the market. Analyst Axel Adler's data indicates that the short-term holders account for about 47%, and the 30-day cash flow remains almost unchanged.
In addition, the RVT (Realized Value to Transaction Volume) index continues to decrease to 0.058, reinforcing the observation that short-term holders have paused selling, reducing downward pressure and allowing the market to stabilize.
The RVT index decreasing often predicts a consolidation phase, weak selling pressure, and an increased probability of price recovery.
Axel Adler, CryptoQuant Data Analyst, 2025
History shows that when this 'silence' lasts, the momentum for a strong upward reversal occurs due to depleted selling supply, and investors await opportunities to return to a profitable state.
What determines Bitcoin's next trend?
AMBCrypto observes: Bitcoin has the potential to bounce back if short-term holders continue to patiently hold. Conversely, if this group starts to cut losses en masse, the market will face very strong downward pressure.
Scenarios Affecting Bitcoin Price Key Price Levels Short-term holders continue to 'hold', not selling off Price is likely to recover, testing resistance at $117,000 $117,000 (resistance) Short-term holders sell off en masse Price drops deeply, seeking support below $112,000 $112,000 (support)
The short-term trend of Bitcoin entirely depends on the movements of the short-term investor group. If they maintain faith and 'hold', the price will have a chance to recover strongly.
AMBCrypto, Market Analysis Report, August 2025
Overall, the 'hold' sentiment of short-term holders acts as a support point for Bitcoin in the current phase, but investors should closely monitor on-chain data to timely adapt to any upcoming fluctuations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the average profit of short-term Bitcoin holders currently?
CryptoQuant data shows that the average actual profit of short-term holders in the past 10 months has not exceeded 5%, with most in a state of negligible profit or loss.
What is SOPR and what does it mean for short-term Bitcoin holders?
SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) measures the profit or loss level of selling transactions. The SOPR of short-term holders around 1 reflects that most sales do not have clear profits.
Why has the supply of short-term holders at a loss increased sharply recently?
Due to most short-term holders buying at high price levels, when the market adjusts, the loss ratio rises sharply. Checkonchain data recorded an increase from 190.3K BTC to 1.27 million BTC in just one week.
How does the sell-side risk index affect the behavior of short-term holders?
The lower the sell-side risk, the lower the selling pressure. When this index hits the bottom, short-term holders often prioritize 'hold', waiting for prices to recover instead of selling to cut losses.
What percentage of the Bitcoin market do short-term holders currently account for?
The latest statistics from CryptoQuant and Axel Adler show that short-term holders account for about 47% of the total Bitcoin supply at this time.
What scenarios could lead to a sharp decline in Bitcoin's price in the short term?
If short-term holders begin mass selling to cut losses, downward pressure will surge, and the market could fall to the support area of $112,000.
On the contrary, what factors support Bitcoin's price recovery?
If short-term holders continue to believe and 'hold', limited selling volume will create a premise for Bitcoin to challenge the resistance area of $117,000 in the near future.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/holder-bitcoin-dai-han-thuc-day-tang-gia/
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