Just reviewed #ETH 's half-year market findings:
February 25: ETH dropped 395 points (the largest drop in six months, that day seems to be when Russia attacked Ukraine)
August 14: Dropped 339 points
Today: Dropped 336 points
Interestingly — it has never fallen below 400 points.
Why?
Dealer's risk boundary: 400 points is the 'invisible threshold' for liquidity sweeping; going deeper could trigger uncontrollable chain liquidations.
Structural support limit: 395 points ≈ critical structural edge, dealers will only push to the limit, not destroy trend costs.
Statistical extreme value rule: 400 points belongs to long-tail extremes, with a very low probability, naturally it hasn't appeared in six months.
In summary, I bought the dip, average price is a bit high at 4285, holding the position, let's see if it will drop below 400 points today.
February 25: ETH dropped 395 points (the largest drop in six months, that day seems to be when Russia attacked Ukraine)
August 14: Dropped 339 points
Today: Dropped 336 points
Interestingly — it has never fallen below 400 points.
Why?
Dealer's risk boundary: 400 points is the 'invisible threshold' for liquidity sweeping; going deeper could trigger uncontrollable chain liquidations.
Structural support limit: 395 points ≈ critical structural edge, dealers will only push to the limit, not destroy trend costs.
Statistical extreme value rule: 400 points belongs to long-tail extremes, with a very low probability, naturally it hasn't appeared in six months.
In summary, I bought the dip, average price is a bit high at 4285, holding the position, let's see if it will drop below 400 points today.
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ETH
4,177.07
-2.85%