August 18 Midday Strategy: Rebound Opportunity Amid Sharp Decline

Key Event Axis

Focus Event: Powell's central bank speech at 22:00 on Friday (potentially bearish)

Secondary Event: Federal Reserve minutes on Thursday (03:00), 20-year Treasury auction (01:00)

Attribution of Sharp Decline

Driving Vacuum: Last week's inflation suppression of interest rate cut expectations left no favorable countermeasures this week

Chain Liquidation: Long positions take profits → Price falls → Triggers collateral liquidation → Accelerates selling pressure (no direct bearish confirmation reflects the technical essence of the sell-off)

Long vs Short Framework

Short-term Pressure: Powell's hawkish expectations + event window period → Weak sentiment → Downward inertia still exists

Medium-term Anchor: Market still pricing in an 80% probability of a rate cut in September → Deep corrections do not change the daily bullish trend

Qualitative Assessment for This Week: Bearish release phase in a wide-ranging daily fluctuation

Today's Tactics

Main Contract: Rebound bottom built in the range of 114000-116500

Second Contract: Support buying in the range of 4200-4350

Operational Logic: Sharp decline releases collateral liquidation pressure + faith in interest rate cuts remains intact → Capture stop-loss signals on the left side, follow rebound momentum on the right side

#REVABinanceTGE #PowellWatch #CryptoIntegration

Continued Attention: tst pond skl