SOL/USDT Technical Analysis (August 18, 2025)

Chart Overview

  • Price: 182.47 USDT (down 4.71%)

  • Timeframe: 1-hour chart

  • Indicators on Chart:

    • EMA(5): 185.00 (price below EMA → bearish short-term trend)

    • EMA(10): 188.27

    • RSI (14): ~35.71 (approaching oversold territory)

    • Stochastic Oscillator: ~8.32 (deeply oversold)

    • MACD: Bearish momentum (MACD line below signal line, diverging; negative histogram)

    • Recent Low: 182.25

    • Recent High: 195.89

Deep Technical Analysis

  • Trend: The current short-term trend is bearish—SOL has experienced a sharp selloff from above 195 USDT to near 182 USDT on strong downward candles. Both EMAs are above the current price, confirming the prevailing negative momentum.

  • Momentum:

    • RSI: At 35.71, RSI is close to oversold conditions (<30 is considered oversold), suggesting sellers may soon exhaust.

    • Stochastic: At 8.32, deep in oversold territory, reinforcing the probability of a near-term bounce or pause in the selling.

    • MACD: The MACD indicator remains decisively bearish, showing strong downward pressure, but it can also be a sign of a potential short-term reversal after such a quick move.

  • Support & Resistance:

    • Support: Current level near 182 USDT, next important support likely at psychological 180 USDT.

    • Resistance: 185 USDT (EMA 5), 188.27 (EMA 10), then 190 USDT.

Today’s Price Outlook

  • Probability of New Lows: High—the momentum remains negative, and bearish signals dominate. However, short-term technicals are entering oversold areas, so heavy further downside is less likely unless a market-wide sell-off accelerates.

  • Probability of a Bounce: Moderate—the strong oversold readings could trigger a mild technical rebound, but any bounce is likely to face resistance at the EMAs.

  • Bias: Expect a consolidation or minor rebound, unless fresh bearish news pushes the market lower.

Trading Suggestions

1. Spot Trading

  • Short-term: Caution on new short entries; wait for a bounce towards resistance (EMA 5/10) to consider shorting again.

  • Buy Zone: Consider gradual spot accumulation if SOL dips towards or below 180 USDT, but only for longer-term investors and with good risk management (scale in, small position sizes).

2. Futures Trading

  • Short (Sell) Setup: Wait for a weak bounce to EMA 185–188 USDT zone, then look for a short entry with a tight stop-loss above 190 USDT.

  • Long (Buy) Setup: Only consider a quick scalp long if you see bullish reversal signals (bullish candlestick pattern, RSI/Stochastic cross upwards) and use a very tight stop, since market structure is still bearish.

Risk Management

  • Set stop-losses: as volatility is high and strong bear trend is present.

  • Avoid large leverage or oversized positions until the trend changes.

  • Re-assess if price breaks below 180 USDT or convincingly above 190 USDT.

Conclusion:
SOL/USDT is in a strong short-term downtrend, with oversold readings suggesting a bounce could occur, but the main momentum is still negative. Future positions should favor the trend but be ready to take quick profits or reverse if you see strong reversal signs. Prioritize defense and wait for clearer trend reversals before aggressive spot buying.

$SOL

Let’s proceed with the trade according to the plan outlined above by selecting the chart.

I sincerely hope this approach brings you success. If you find this guidance helpful, kindly show your support by liking, following, and sharing this article.

Your encouragement means a lot to me—thank you! 🙏