📉 Bitcoin (BTC) Short-Term Trading Strategy | Key Levels and Risk Control Plan
📌 Current Market Analysis
Bitcoin has recently been oscillating in the range of 117,000~116,000. If it effectively breaks below this support, it may further decline to 112,000 or even 110,000. Conversely, if it rebounds and stabilizes above 118,500, it may return to an upward trend. Market sentiment is cautious, and attention should be paid to technical signals and macroeconomic factors.
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🎯 Trading Ideas (Bearish but Cautious)
1️⃣ Gradual Shorting Strategy
· First Entry Point: Lightly short near 116,000 (need to confirm that the rebound is weak or breaks down with volume).
· Second Entry Point: If the price rebounds to 117,500~118,000 and faces resistance, you can add to your position (in conjunction with RSI overbought or MACD death cross).
· Stop Loss: Above 118,500 (to prevent false breakouts).
· Target: 112,000 (first support), if broken look for 110,000 (strong psychological level).
2️⃣ Risk Control
· Single position ≤5%, total position ≤10%.
· If the price quickly drops to 114,000, you can partially take profits, and set a trailing stop for the remaining position.
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🔍 Key Observation Indicators
· Technical: Whether the 4-hour MACD/RSI continues to signal bearishness.
· Capital Flow: Large transfers into exchanges may indicate selling pressure.
· Macroeconomic: The impact of Federal Reserve policies and U.S. stock market opening on the crypto market.
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⚠️ Precautions
· If there is a strong breakout above 118,500, abandon shorting and even consider going long (with caution).
· In extreme volatility, prioritize capital preservation and avoid holding losing positions.
(This article is for personal market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks, and decisions should be made cautiously.)
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