Trump Forces Ceasefire, EU Stands Firm in the US! Is the Crypto Market About to Cool Down After a Short-Term Surge? The Battle to Defend Bitcoin at 40,000 Begins
The Russia-Ukraine Negotiations are Influencing the Crypto Market: Will Bitcoin Surge to 40,000 or Dip Below It? These Altcoins Have Already Been Condemned to Death. The Political Spat on the International Stage, coupled with Liquidations in the Crypto Market, Can Still Stir Up Volatility — When Major Powers Engage in a Tug of War, Crypto Fluctuations are Hidden in Leaders' Statements. Today, we directly address Trump's Push for Ukraine to Ceasefire Along Current Lines, and EU Leaders like Macron Visiting the US to Support Zelensky, and Their Impact on the Crypto Market.
In the Short Term, Bitcoin is Likely to Experience Some Volatility, but a Significant Surge is Unlikely. During the Start of the Russia-Ukraine War in 2022, Bitcoin Jumped from 38,000 to 42,000 in a Single Day; however, due to the Lack of Incremental Funds, Even if Risk Aversion Rises, $BTC Can at Most Touch 40,000, but Struggling to Break 42,000. If the EU and Trump Fail to Reach an Agreement, We May Witness a 'False Risk Aversion, Real Harvesting' Scenario Similar to the 2023 Israel-Palestine Conflict, where After a 5% Increase, Prices Drop Back in 3 Days.
In the Long Term, If a Genuine Ceasefire Occurs, Altcoins Riding the Trend May Cool Down. The UKR Token Soared 2-3 Times Last Year Due to 'Aid to Ukraine' but Subsequently Plummeted 90% After Team Fraud was Exposed; In Contrast, The Ethereum Agricultural Product Traceability Project Increased by 40% Last Year After Partial Ceasefire in the Ukraine, Highlighting the Reliability of Genuine Demand.
The Key is to Combine Market Trends with Federal Reserve Policies and US Stock Markets. If After the Talks, the US Signals 'Interest Rate Cuts', Bitcoin May Rise on Safe-Haven Demand and Rate Cut Expectations; If Talks Fail and the Federal Reserve Signals 'Interest Rate Hikes', Even Safe-Haven Demand May Struggle to Drive Prices Up.
Tomorrow, I Will Focus on Three Details in the Talks: Will the US Continue to Aid Ukraine, Will the EU Increase Aid, and Will There Be Additional Crypto Sanctions Against Russia? Do You Think Bitcoin Can Hold at 40,000? Share Your Judgments in the Comments, and We Will Select 3 People for a Free Analysis of Their Holdings' Volatility Resistance!