Weekend long positions eat meat, interest rate cuts in September are bound to continue! 8.18 Bitcoin Aunt's strategy

According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 15.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 84.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 42.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 51.5%. In simple terms, a rate cut in September is inevitable, mainly looking at how many basis points will be cut. The strategies provided over the weekend perfectly align with market trends, allowing for gains of over a thousand points, with Bitcoin nearing two thousand points, and the short position for Ethereum being very close, with only a few points difference in execution, resulting in another hundred points in this wave. Friends who followed along should consider taking profits!

From a technical perspective, the daily Bitcoin chart shows another candlestick with a long upper shadow, while Ethereum shows a candlestick with a long upper wick. Looking at the closing line, the probability of another dip today is quite high, but based on market fund movements, the bullish outlook remains unchanged, so intra-day operations suggest focusing on buying at low levels! Key resistance levels to watch above are 118500, 119200, 120000, 122000, 124500, and 126000; support levels below are 116500, 114600, and 113300. For Ethereum, watch resistance levels around 4490, 4670, 4740, 4800, and 4870, and support levels around 4360, 4250, and 4160.

8.18 Bitcoin trading strategy: Aggressive traders should continue to buy on dips between 116800-117200, while conservative traders should enter between 116000-116300, with a stop loss below 115500, targeting around 117800-118500-119200, and if broken, look towards 120000-121000, continue to move the stop loss up based on the situation!

8.18 Ethereum trading strategy: Aggressive traders should continue to buy on dips between 4400-4430, while conservative traders should enter between 4330-4450, with a stop loss below 4300, targeting around 4460-4490, and if broken, look towards 4530-4550, continue to move the stop loss up based on the situation!

Short position strategy: For Bitcoin, short one contract on rebounds between 120000-120500, with a stop loss near 121000, targeting around 119500-119000, and if broken, look towards 118000-117500, continue to move the stop loss up based on the situation!

For Ethereum, short around 4620 on rebounds, with a stop loss near 4650, targeting around 4500-4450, and if broken, move the stop loss up based on the situation!

The spot ETF market continues to see inflows, although there was a small outflow on Friday, overall, inflows are still more than outflows, so mainly follow the trend and buy. #美联储取消创新活动监管计划