What connects 2018, 2021, and August 2025?
No, not new iPhones.
And not that someone has written again, "Bitcoin will soon be a million."
This is XRP. The "old man" that, like an unsinkable iron, has resurfaced in the headlines.
The price is above $3, 94% of holders are in profit. If you held XRP since the world was younger, you are having a real celebration today. You feel richer, smarter, and probably googling "how to buy a Lamborghini with XRP."
But stop.
The same charts hint: you are standing on the edge of a cliff.
History loves to repeat itself.
In 2018, XRP was also at its peak. The result - 95%.
In 2021, again "moon rockets". The result - 85%.
Today Glassnode and Cointelegraph joyfully report: "Investors are swimming in profits!"
One wonders, what happens to people who swim too long? Right. They drown.
NUPL: another word to scare investors
There is an indicator called NUPL. It sounds like a shoe brand for hipsters, but in reality, it’s a greed thermometer.
Right now, it’s in the "belief–denial" zone. That is, investors seem to believe, but deep down they understand: this party cannot last forever.
If NUPL rises a little more, we will find ourselves in the "greed" zone. And that’s where the real drama begins: first, the "smart money" takes profits, then the whales come in, and then you sit with a bag of XRP watching your balance melt away faster than ice cream in the sun.
Triangles, lines, and other drawings for adults
Technical analysis also adds some fun:
XRP is forming a descending triangle. This is when the chart looks like a children's slide, but you and your money will be the ones sliding down.
Support at $3.05.
If we break down, prepare for $2.39.
If it goes up, everyone will certainly scream about "XRP at $6!".
But let's be honest: who believes in triangles, except for YouTube traders?
And here we are
We see the classic storyline again: everyone is in profit, everyone is happy, everyone is confident that "now XRP will definitely break the ceiling."
But if you think that the crypto market works the way you want, then you are new here.
So enjoy the moment. XRP is back at $3, and it's fun.
But remember: every holiday in the crypto market ends with a hangover.
