Imagine standing on a hilltop with keen eyes gazing at the financial sky full of potential. In 2025, Bitcoin is in the spotlight: its price pegged around $118,000 is quite strong, but many are still whispering, “Is $125,000 realistic?”

Here are a series of important reasons that are not just dreams—but real footprints towards the potential for a continued bull run. Let's explore them one by one!

1. ETF Inflows & Institutional Demand: The Main Engine of the Bull Run

Since the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF in the US (January 2024), the flow of institutional capital has started to surge. By mid-2025, total net inflow into ETFs reached $14.8 billion. There are even reports of over $2.39 billion in just one week. This further solidifies Bitcoin's positioning as an institutional asset, not just speculative.

Analysts like Citi also highlight that ETFs are the strongest driver in the short term, as they make it easier for large investors to enter without having to worry about directly storing coins.

2. Diminishing Supply: Exchanges Dragged, Supply Becoming Scarcer

On-chain data shows one of the most bullish trends: the amount of Bitcoin on exchanges is at a 5-year low. Once supply disappears from the market (because it is held long-term), when there is demand, especially institutional, the price tends to soar.

3. Whale Actions: Intensive Whale Accumulation

Large wallets (≥ 1,000 $BTC ) are doing massive accumulation, a strong signal that insiders/large holders are confident that prices will rise. There is even data showing whales buying tens of thousands of Bitcoins in just a few hours.

There are even reports that 'Bitcoin whales bought 1% of the total supply in the last 4 months.'

4. Halving Cycle: The Scarcity Incentive Sharpens

The April 2024 halving has indeed passed, but its positive momentum is still felt. History shows that 12 to 18 months after halving, significant #Bullrun usually occurs. Currently, the halving creates a rare supply atmosphere and strengthens upside expectations.

5. Market Sentiment & Fear & Greed Index: Psychological Weapons

Current market sentiment is in a phase of 'neutral and leaning towards greed', indicating strong optimism. This certainly needs to be monitored, as extreme greed can signal a local peak. However, the Fear and Greed index currently still shows a figure of 59, which is still far from the peak (100).

Crypto Fear & Greed Index

6. The Weakening Dollar Index & Favorable Macroeconomic Conditions

The weakening dollar due to favorable Fed policies makes Bitcoin increasingly attractive as a hedge asset. Trump even signed policies to encourage crypto adoption, triggering money inflow to Bitcoin. USDT dominance has been steadily declining since April 7, 2025, from 6.23% to 3.98%.

7. Predictions from Experts: Ambitious Targets in Sight

Some predictions from reputable institutions:

  • Standard Chartered projects #bitcoin could touch $200,000 by the end of the year.

  • Investopedia mentions that the range of $180,000–200,000 is very possible if institutional trends and demand continue.

  • On the other hand, CoinDCX estimates that this year's BTC high could be between $120,000–150,000.

8. What You've Been Waiting For

After we look at the analysis from experts, now let's move to my personal analysis.

Since February 2025, I have been marking the Bitcoin chart with a target of $130K. Now it is already at TP 3, and it is very possible to reach TP 4 or max TP.

However, it should be remembered that BTC must be able to stay above the trendline, or break down below demand (around $111K) to continue its bullish momentum.

After we look at the HTF, we move to the LTF. BTC is currently in a bearish phase on the smaller timeframe. However, BTC should not break support, as breaking that support could lead to 112K (and a fake out on the HTF trendline). If selling pressure remains strong enough to break 111K, BTC is likely to enter a bearish phase.

So, BTC's next challenge is to breakout from $119300 to make its lower timeframe sentiment bullish.

Actions for You: Trader or Holder

  • Trader: Monitor support in the range of $113K-116K, target breakout to NEW ATH.

  • Holder: Long-term position? Maintain key levels (At 112K, 115K, and 116K), use low-range pullbacks as an opportunity to accumulate Bitcoin or other coins like $ETH .


Time and data will speak.

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