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Ilyas64184089
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Bullish
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Bitcoin
continues to move sideways, and the market remains unchanged. A clear direction is expected by Monday or Tuesday. The first resistance level is $118,500, followed by the all-time high resistance area.
$BTC
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How to Size Your Bets Properly 🤔 Many traders lose in the long term not because they pick bad assets, but because they size their bets badly. Risk too little and you grow slowly. Risk too much and one streak of losses wipes you out. The Kelly Criterion solves this problem. 🧮 It’s a formula from probability theory that shows how much of your capital to risk when you have an edge. The idea is to maximize long-term growth while minimizing the risk of ruin. The theory also explains why overbetting is fatal: the more you exceed the Kelly amount, the faster your chances of blowing up rise. Underbetting is safer but leaves profits on the table. That’s why many traders use “half-Kelly” to balance growth and volatility 🤔 For example, say you have a $10,000 portfolio and a strategy that wins 60% of the time at 1:1 R/R ratio. 👉 Kelly would suggest risking about $2,000 per trade. Not $500, which grows too slowly, and not $5,000, which risks ruin — but the balanced middle. ⏺f = the fraction of your bankroll to risk. This is the answer the formula gives. ⏺b = the odds or payout ratio. For example, if you risk $100 to win $100, then b = 1. If you risk $100 to win $500, then b = 5. ⏺p = the probability of winning. This is how often your strategy works (like 60%). ⏺q = the probability of losing, which is simply 1 − p. If p = 0.6, then q = 0.4. #FAQ $BTC $ETH $XRP
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ENA/USDT.P The price of ENA is in a strong uptrend and, after touching the 4h FVG zone, has started a local upward move. This move could continue from the current levels or after collecting local liquidity. The main target for the price is the local high at $0.855. $ENA
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ATOM/USDT.P The price of ATOM successfully held the $4.35 level, and there is now potential to form an uptrend. After collecting liquidity below, the price may begin to rise. The main target for the move is the equal highs level at $4.92. $ATOM
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#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, kept on getting rejected from the weekly area and looks like the zone standing strong. Candle barely even closed over the zone and this week its looking the same. If retracement came, wait for the Daily TF formed the support and anticipate it to further move higher. $BTC #CryptoIntegration
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#LRC/USDT ANALYSIS LRC is consolidating within a falling wedge pattern and is currently facing rejection from the resistance trendline. The Ichimoku Cloud is acting as a resistance barrier above the pattern. A solid breakout would confirm a bullish trend, while continued rejection could lead to further price movement within the pattern. $LRC #BullishIPO
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