SUI is currently making high-level rotations above the $3.78 'value anchor', with chips highly concentrated but accompanied by reduced contract positions, resembling the 'deep squat jump' of a bull market continuation—pulling back to the low volume gap at $3.70～$3.74 is the last entry point for short-term bulls; breaching $3.65 signals the end of the party.
Key interval structure
• Value anchoring zone (POC): 3.7828; 230 million chips have traded here in the past two weeks, with high overlap in long and short costs.
• High volume buffer zone (HVN): 3.7359, 3.7515, 3.7671, 3.7984; price often sees buying rebounds when it falls back to these levels.
• Low volume gap (LVN): 3.70～3.7145, 4.15～4.20; once the price enters, it often passes through quickly.
• 70% Value Zone: 3.423～3.986; current price 3.787 is at the upper edge, showing slight overbought tendencies in the short term.
• Momentum verification: Up/Down Volume above POC = 40.6% : 59.4%; sellers slightly dominate, but Up Volume in the lower LVN 3.70 area has risen to 61%, indicating buy orders are gathering on the pullback.
Auxiliary judgment
• Bollinger Bands: Price is close to the upper band (82.6% position), RSI 69, short-term divergence.
• MA200: 3.8357, price is still 1.25% below the long-term average, medium-term bearish but not far from it.
• Contract positions: 24h reduced by 1.71%, long/short ratio has risen to 3.13, capital is 'withdrawing while fighting', beware of false bullish signals.
Trading strategy (15m～1h level)
1. Pullback to long (stable): 3.739～3.745 (upper edge of LVN + HVN 3.7359), stop loss at 3.715 (below HVN outer side), first target 3.7828 (POC), second target 3.825 (upper HVN 3.8296), risk-reward ratio 2.4 : 1.
2. Breakout for long (aggressive): If a bullish candle ≥1.5 times the average volume appears above 3.82, pullback to 3.815 for a direct long position, stop loss at 3.805, target 3.90, risk-reward ratio 2.1 : 1.
3. Defensive short (conservative): If it falls below 3.70 and closes below it on a 15m basis, rebound at 3.705 with a light short position, stop loss at 3.725, target 3.65, risk-reward ratio 2.2 : 1.
Strategy invalidation: If 3.65 is breached or POC breaks down with volume and accompanied by increased contract positions, then the long logic terminates.
LP market-making suggestions
Narrow range grid LP in the 3.70～3.85 USD range:
• Lower limit 3.70 is strong support for LVN, upper limit 3.85 is a dense HVN area.
• Current funding rate is neutral, contract positions are reduced, short-term volatility is contracting, suitable for collecting fees.
• Reserve 20% of funds at 3.65 and 3.90 to place extreme pin protection orders, preventing one-sided breakthroughs.
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