1. Our recent predictions for Ethereum have been completely correct.
(1) On August 11, we reminded [To bottom fish Ethereum at 4170, it is also possible to bottom fish during the day before the CPI data comes out on August 12, and it must rise on the night of August 12!]
(2) We provided a bottom-fishing strategy: only bottom fish Ethereum, do not bottom fish Bitcoin, and do not bottom fish altcoins, this way not only has a high profit-loss ratio (up to 17:3), but also very safe!
(3) Expected to end the 5-5 wave on August 13, and it indeed ended on August 14!
(4) On the night of August 13, it was pointed out that all indicators of Ethereum have peaked, the 5-5 wave could end at any time, and after breaking 4606.4, the possibility of reaching the peak increased. Breaking below the 6-hour BBI and the 4-hour MACD death cross indicates reaching the peak, reminding everyone to avoid FOMO:
(5) On August 14, it was pointed out that Ethereum's 5-5 wave is very likely to have ended!
(6) On August 14, it was pointed out that Bitcoin's 5-5 wave may also have ended!
(7) Once again remind to clear out Ethereum bottom-fished at 4170!
(8) On August 16, it was pointed out that Bitcoin and Ethereum's 5-5 wave has ended! This means that the entire rebound after Bitcoin 74508 and Ethereum 1385 has ended.
Under normal circumstances, both Bitcoin and Ethereum will not reach new highs before September,
Currently, there is only less than a 5% probability of an unknown sudden positive event causing a brief false breakout during the adjustment wave. After Powell's speech on August 22, this probability further drops to nearly 0%.
2. Why can we make money, and why do others lose money?
When others are greedy, I am fearful! Recently, I have been emphasizing that altcoins should be run away from, not bought high! Look at how many people bought high and got trapped or even liquidated?
Did you read this morning's article (Wealth not matching position, different paths leading to the same destination, most A9 poverty traps)? Most A9 poverty traps, wealth not matching position, gains and losses originating from the same source, different paths leading to the same destination, ultimately result in having nothing! If A9 is like this, what about you?
Hard work is important, but skills are more important! A few days ago, when Ethereum dropped to 4170, I emphasized to only bottom fish Ethereum, not altcoins or Bitcoin, and as a result, Ethereum outperformed most coins!
3. Before the big crash, we successfully shorted at the next high peak again!
The article on August 12 (Have you cleared out your altcoins? Are you shorting altcoins? Why can’t you catch it when the food is right at the mouth?) pointed out the following views:
(1) The first to point out that Ethereum 4332.6 is the top of the 5-3 wave, is the first shorting time node, the 5-3 wave of Ethereum ends, some altcoins that have risen a lot peak in advance!
(2) Another short-selling time node is on August 12-13! Ethereum's 5-5 wave has peaked! Altcoins are crashing! In fact, the timing has been delayed by 1 day compared to what was originally expected, and we pointed out in our circle that the peak would actually be on August 13-14! August 14 is the second short-selling opportunity!
(3) This week will see the final carnival! The more bustling it is, the more one should flee! This prediction has been verified!
(4) The second round of the season for fish, shrimp, and crabs will start from September 5-11 and September 15! Waiting for verification.
This is how we shorted:
On the evening of August 14, we also shared the short position:
As long as you are shorting, all shorts can be profitable! Go with the trend, in a big market, even a fool can profit from shorting these days!
[Significant event on August 22] On August 14, US PPI data was negative, reducing interest rate cut expectations, causing Bitcoin to crash in the short term.
Next week on August 22, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak, which will lead to a greater crash! Recently, Powell has spoken 6 times, with 5 major drops!
Everyone pay special attention to August 22! An important turning point time node.
4. The big crash of SOL, many fans cannot believe it!
On August 14, we pointed out that the entire double sawtooth adjustment wave rebound for SOL 95.26-209.66 has ended! The Super Cycle 2-Y wave does not rule out new lows below 95.26, with targets of 109.59-100-85.87, extreme 69.46.
The wave analysis chart of SOL is as follows:
After sharing the wave analysis of SOL, many fans cannot believe it!
5. Where does Ethereum need to fall in September?
The analysis chart from August 14 is still valid, and many fans cannot believe it:
The latest analysis chart is as follows:
(1) The 5-5 wave has ended.
(2) The time before September is all garbage time, meaningless.
(3) In September, it needs to fall back to 3350-3086-3000, with an extreme of 2684.98.
6. Where does Bitcoin need to fall in September?
The analysis chart from August 14 is still valid, and many fans cannot believe it:
The latest analysis chart is as follows:
(1) Daily indicators have all peaked, completely breaking below the 6-hour BBI, the 6-hour KC lower track has also been broken, the daily MACD has a death cross, and the 5-5 wave of Bitcoin has ended!
(3) It needs to fall to around 111922-114709 to complete a full single sawtooth adjustment wave before a significant rebound can occur.
(4) Pay attention to the support at 103454, once it breaks down, it will fall to 93595-99491, and 93595 also matches the CME gap between 91970-92720, also matches the weekly MA 60, and also matches the daily Fibonacci fan 0.3333.
(5) Therefore, just pay attention to the support ranges of 91970-92720-93595 and 99491.
What to do in July and August? Switching to large A stocks is the way to go!
A-shares have broken through last year's high of 3674.4 in October, entering the body phase of a bull market! Timely switching to stocks is the way to go!
[Shanghai Stock Index Wave Analysis 20250814]
(1) The Super Cycle 3-3-3-2 wave overall is a wxyxz adjustment wave.
And has ended at 3040.78 on April 7, 2025.
(2) The rise after April 7 is a Super Cycle 3-3-3-3 wave.
It is very likely to be higher than 3674.4 (already achieved),
Pay attention to the resistance at 3700 (already achieved) - 3800 - 3836.
Among them, 3725 (pay special attention) - 3749 - 3777 - 3800 - 3836.
Pay attention to when the StochRSI indicator reaches around 100, and the greed index is above 76.
(3) After the end of the 3-3-3-3-1-5 wave, it is the Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-2 wave.
This is the last opportunity to get on before the main upward wave in the bull market.
(4) After the Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-2 wave, it is the Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-3 wave.
Golden September and Silver October, the main upward wave in the bull market!!
(5) The target for the Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-5 wave is 4633.95 - 4813.17 - 5010.11.
[Version A Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-5 wave]
(1) Currently in the Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-5 wave, pay attention to the resistance at 3700 (already achieved) - 3800.
Among them, 3725 (pay special attention) - 3749 - 3777 - 3800.
(2) Observe the first wave (Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-1 wave) which took 24 K-lines and 37 days,
The third wave (Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-3 wave) took 27 K-lines and 37 days.
The fifth wave (Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-5 wave) can theoretically take 24-27 K-lines, 32-37 days.
The time node can last until September 5-10.
[Version B Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-3 wave end or Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-4 wave]
(1) Currently in the terminal of Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-3 wave or Super Cycle 3-3-3-3-1-4 wave,
Pay attention to the resistance at 3700 (already achieved) - 3800 - 3836.
Among them, 3725 (pay special attention) - 3749 - 3777 - 3800 - 3836.
8. Stock harvest, where are the opportunities in stocks in August?
(1) In the article on August 11 (This week will see the final carnival! The more bustling it is, the more one should flee! The second round of altcoin season will start from September 5-11 and September 15!), I pointed out: Only three types of people can make money in large A stocks:
Opportunities in August are:
(2) Look at how much the stocks I recommended last week: [Hongteng Precision Technology] and [Innovative Medical], [Sanbrain Boke], and the previously mentioned [Huahong Semiconductor] have risen? How much has [Sanhuan Group] risen?
[Hongteng Precision Technology] Earned up to 107% in 8 days!
[Innovative Medical] Earned 60% in 6 days!
[Sanbrain Boke] Earned 24% in 5 days.
[Huahong Semiconductor] Rose 28.7% in 4 days!
[Sanhuan Group] Earned 32% in 7 days.
(3) What to do next? Our circle has introduced 4 simple and practical indicators for everyone:
StochRSI is used to judge the stage bottom or top.
KDJ + SKDJ indicators assist in judging the final major top or final major bottom.
CCI indicator is used for early warning of bottoms and tops.
Super Bull RSI is used for peak escape warning!
The MACD indicator is used to finally determine major peaks and troughs. Small-cap stocks use 8, 15, 6 parameters.
Using the above 4 indicators to bottom out and escape the peak is very simple, with a high probability of success!
(4) Where are the opportunities in August? Patient capital can pay attention to other sectors that have not rotated:
Passive components sector (Shunluo Electronics, Fenghua High Tech, etc.),
Electronic consumer sector (Lingyi Zhi Zao, etc.),
Solid-state batteries (Tianqi Materials, Lead Intelligent, etc.),
Chip-related (Huahong Semiconductor, Unigroup Guohua, etc.),
In the pullback, pay attention to Cambrian-related (Zhongji Xuchuang, etc.),
In the pullback, pay attention to anti-involution (Sungrow Power Supply, etc.) sector,
In the pullback, pay attention to brain-machine interfaces (Sanbo Neuroscience, etc.), as well as industrial robots, AI agents + state-owned cloud, AI medical sectors;
Hongteng Precision has made 107% in 8 days, impressive! Exploded with 33% on Friday! Where is the Hong Kong stock market more fragrant than the crypto market? The crypto market is just garbage! It's nothing!
For each sector, we have prepared many Hong Kong stocks, such as:
[The next Hongteng Precision Technology] Another leader in the consumer electronics sector of the Hong Kong stock market, could be the next Hongteng Precision Technology. If you bought too little of Hongteng Precision Technology, you can refer to the image below!
[A state-owned company that invested in Cambrian] This state-owned company invested in Cambrian, the financial data is very good, with a PE ratio of only 15, and all indicators are bullish, it started today!
💡 Note: Investing is like walking at night, always carry the lantern of 'risk awareness' to stay away from trading fog, and refuse to blindly chase light.
If you have also drifted in the sea of desire, like 👍 + follow 'Xiao Bai learns points,' leave a glimmer in the comments, and share to let more people see—life is worth it, and there is no need to gamble with your life.