Bias > Prediction - The Trader’s Upgrade
New traders love to play fortune teller:
“BTC will be at $80K by Friday.”
Feels smart until the market does the exact opposite.
A bias is different - it’s a directional lean, backed by logic, but with the humility to wait for the market to confirm before committing capital.
Why pros run on bias, not blind predictions:
➡️ Predictions trap you - you defend the call instead of adapting.
➡️ Biases flex - you can flip without ego damage.
➡️ Being right ≠ being profitable. Execution matters
➡️ The market doesn’t care about your forecast.
The job isn’t to be right - it’s to be adaptable
The sooner you drop the ego and trade what’s actually on the chart, the sooner your PnL stops looking like a rookie’s and starts looking like a pro’s