Bloodbath or Frenzy? When Powell speaks, will the crypto world witness a 'thousand-point plunge' tonight?!!

Global crypto investors are holding their breath—tonight at the Jackson Hole annual meeting, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech may become the 'turning point' for the crypto world in 2025. This meeting, seen as a 'policy preview', previously ignited a surge in gold due to Bernanke's remarks and caused Powell's hawkish comments in 2022 to crash Bitcoin's half-year trajectory. Now, with Trump pressuring for interest rate cuts, the U.S. unemployment rate reaching a four-year high, and the market betting an 89% chance of a rate cut in September, every word could trigger 'earthquake-level' volatility.

Three possible trends:

Hawkish Surprise: If he emphasizes 'inflation is not gone, rate cuts need caution', Bitcoin may fall below $100,000, and altcoins could face a 'stampede' sell-off.

Dovish Celebration: If he clearly states 'rate cuts in September', Bitcoin could surge to $150,000, but beware of the risk of institutions selling on 'buy the expectation, sell the fact'.

Ambiguous Tai Chi: Most likely to play the 'data dependency' card, volatility will soar, with both bulls and bears exploding.

Traditional Finance 'Surrender' Signal:

Institutions have voted with real money, with 15 institutions holding nearly $14 billion in crypto ETFs, BlackRock and Goldman Sachs continue to increase their positions; U.S. sovereign funds have crypto allocations of 1.2%, and the UAE sovereign fund spent $440 million to buy Bitcoin ETFs; the White House even plans to classify Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. The crypto market is upgrading from a 'marginal asset' to a 'must-have option' for global capital.

Retail Investor Response Guide:

Beware of 'expectation gaps': The market has already bet on rate cuts, if the statements fall short of expectations, prepare for a pullback. Keep a close eye on institutional movements: Changes in BlackRock and Goldman Sachs' holdings are a 'wind vane'. Position in safe-haven assets: Inflation-resistant assets like gold and Bitcoin still hold value.

Tonight, the bell will toll at Jackson Hole. Will the hawkish surprise trigger a bloodbath, or will the dovish signal ignite a bull market?

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