Today I saw a message, on August 15th Coinbase released its monthly outlook, and the core message is: the altcoin season is coming. Although Coinbase has changed its views on the altcoin season before, it is quite optimistic about the third quarter of 2025. With September approaching and the current market situation, perhaps the altcoin season is really about to start.

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First, let's discuss what the altcoin season is? The general definition is that among the top 50 altcoins by market capitalization, at least 75% must have outperformed Bitcoin in the past 3 months.

Currently, there is significant debate in the community about whether a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September would mean that the crypto market has peaked. Coinbase does not see it that way. They believe that, think about it, there is quite a bit of retail money out there—over 7 trillion is sitting in money market funds, and there is money in other places that is waiting and watching. If the Federal Reserve really loosens up, it could potentially draw this money out in the medium term, creating more space for retail participation.

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