Analysis for August 15

After reaching a historical high yesterday, it faced resistance and pulled back near the 12w4 line. I entered a small position at 12w2 and exited with a small loss, then chased in at 12w1 but regrettably closed it early. The PPI data shock caused the situation to continue to decline, impacting interest rate cut expectations. Currently, it is consolidating near the 11w8 line, and it is expected to decline first and then rise. I have always emphasized that defense is the most important; there is no guaranteed profit, but one can reduce losses. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.

From a technical perspective, the overall situation is characterized by high-level fluctuations. The MACD histogram remains negative but is gradually shortening, with the fast and slow lines approaching below the zero axis, indicating weakening momentum. The RSI value hovers around 43, not entering the overbought or oversold zones, reflecting a relatively stable current market sentiment. After significant volatility, it begins to enter a consolidation phase, maintaining a strategy of high positions and low entries during the day. (Defense is crucial)

Rebound near the 11w7 to 11w75 line for entry

Targeting around the 11w88 – 12w93 line

Rebound near the 4450 – 4470 line for entry

Targeting around the 4580 – 4600 line