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📈 $BTC (2025-08-15 08:00) | Bull-Bear Trend Index: 41 / 100 (Neutral-Bearish)
BTC is currently priced at $118,293, showing a high-to-low trend in the past 48 hours, with a short-term peak divergence followed by a pullback. MACD and RSI are weakening simultaneously, and the moving average system on both the 15-minute and 1-hour levels has turned bearish. The 4-hour level shows signs of a top formation, although the daily bullish trend has not been broken, short-term momentum is clearly diminishing, and further downside risks should be guarded against.
🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Analysis:
15-minute chart: MA7/25 death cross below MA99, MACD shows a golden cross but with weak momentum, RSI at 50.98 is in the neutral-bearish zone, short-term rebound faces pressure;
1-hour chart: moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, MACD shows a low-level golden cross rebound, RSI at 33.99 is in the oversold area but still in weak recovery;
4-hour chart: MA7 crosses below MA25, MACD shows a significant death cross, RSI at 42.89 has dropped below the midline, trend shifts from strong to weak;
Daily chart: price remains above the moving average bullish arrangement, but MACD red bars are shrinking, and RSI at 53.11 is retreating, indicating weakening short-term momentum;
Weekly chart: bullish structure remains intact, MACD and RSI still maintain strong ranges, but short-term adjustment pressure exists.
📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m/1H short-term golden cross recovery, 4H shows a significant death cross with volume, daily red bars are shrinking, weekly momentum is maintained but growth is slowing;
RSI: rebounds after dropping to 33.99 on 1H, both 15m/4H hover below neutral, daily falls back to around 53;
Moving Average System: short-term (15m/1H/4H) is in a bearish arrangement, long-term (daily/weekly) maintains a bullish structure;
Trading Volume: increased during the pullback phase, indicating that selling pressure dominates short-term trends.
🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. [Coindesk August 14 22:40] The US SEC has launched a new round of scrutiny on several cryptocurrency exchanges regarding anti-money laundering and compliance issues, which may impact market confidence in the short term;
2. [Reuters August 14 21:15] US CPI rose 3.2% year-on-year, lower than expected, US Treasury yields fell, boosting risk asset sentiment;
3. [CryptoQuant August 14 19:00] Net inflow of BTC into exchanges hit a nearly three-week high, indicating increased selling pressure;
4. [Bloomberg August 14 17:20] MicroStrategy announces an increase of 1,200 BTC, bringing total holdings to over 226,000, signaling a long-term bullish outlook.
BTC is currently priced at $118,293, showing a high-to-low trend in the past 48 hours, with a short-term peak divergence followed by a pullback. MACD and RSI are weakening simultaneously, and the moving average system on both the 15-minute and 1-hour levels has turned bearish. The 4-hour level shows signs of a top formation, although the daily bullish trend has not been broken, short-term momentum is clearly diminishing, and further downside risks should be guarded against.
🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Analysis:
15-minute chart: MA7/25 death cross below MA99, MACD shows a golden cross but with weak momentum, RSI at 50.98 is in the neutral-bearish zone, short-term rebound faces pressure;
1-hour chart: moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, MACD shows a low-level golden cross rebound, RSI at 33.99 is in the oversold area but still in weak recovery;
4-hour chart: MA7 crosses below MA25, MACD shows a significant death cross, RSI at 42.89 has dropped below the midline, trend shifts from strong to weak;
Daily chart: price remains above the moving average bullish arrangement, but MACD red bars are shrinking, and RSI at 53.11 is retreating, indicating weakening short-term momentum;
Weekly chart: bullish structure remains intact, MACD and RSI still maintain strong ranges, but short-term adjustment pressure exists.
📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 15m/1H short-term golden cross recovery, 4H shows a significant death cross with volume, daily red bars are shrinking, weekly momentum is maintained but growth is slowing;
RSI: rebounds after dropping to 33.99 on 1H, both 15m/4H hover below neutral, daily falls back to around 53;
Moving Average System: short-term (15m/1H/4H) is in a bearish arrangement, long-term (daily/weekly) maintains a bullish structure;
Trading Volume: increased during the pullback phase, indicating that selling pressure dominates short-term trends.
🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. [Coindesk August 14 22:40] The US SEC has launched a new round of scrutiny on several cryptocurrency exchanges regarding anti-money laundering and compliance issues, which may impact market confidence in the short term;
2. [Reuters August 14 21:15] US CPI rose 3.2% year-on-year, lower than expected, US Treasury yields fell, boosting risk asset sentiment;
3. [CryptoQuant August 14 19:00] Net inflow of BTC into exchanges hit a nearly three-week high, indicating increased selling pressure;
4. [Bloomberg August 14 17:20] MicroStrategy announces an increase of 1,200 BTC, bringing total holdings to over 226,000, signaling a long-term bullish outlook.
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