Can a coin with a $100B supply hit $100? The numbers will surprise you.

Let's get real about $XRP 's future. Before the hype train leaves the station, we need to look at the math everyone else is ignoring.

XRP: The real supply story

* Max supply: 100 billion tokens

* Circulating now: about 59 billion tokens

Even with this huge supply, $XRP has stayed in the top ranks, driven by a passionate community and a lot of talk.

But here's the part nobody wants to talk about: What happens when the rest of those locked tokens get released? That massive wave of new supply could hold the price down for years.

The math of reality

* A $15 price would mean a market cap of about $885 billion

* A $20 price would mean a market cap of about $1.18 trillion

So, could XRP hit $15 or even $20? Maybe, but it's more likely to take 10 to 15 years, not next year. A lot of people are chasing short-term dreams that are bound to end in disappointment.

My plan: Focusing on fundamentals

I'm focusing on XLM because its supply situation feels a lot healthier for the long term.

The takeaway

* Don't let hype blind you to the real numbers.

* Ground your expectations in reality.

* Have a clear reason for your investment.

If you have a target price for XRP in 2025 to 2030, drop it in the comments and show your math.

Follow @Genny Cruz for real data instead of empty dreams.

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