📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/08/14) Morning Analysis
Short-term weakness, medium to long-term remains bullish! 1H falls back below EMA9/21 showing bearish right-side signals, but 4H and daily charts are still above moving averages. 118k~121.3k is the tug-of-war zone, a breakout will accelerate, details as follows👇
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#BTC 【1D】
Trend: Medium Bullish. Price is above EMA9/21 (119,410/117,776), RSI > 60, MACD positive, DMI shows ADX > 20 and +DI > -DI, structure is bullish but pressure near R1.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Falls below EMA21 117,776 and closes below
🟢 Add Long: Backtest EMA9 119,410 not triggered; backtest EMA21 117,776 not triggered
🚀 Breakout to Add Long: Daily close above R1 124,283
🎯 Take Profit: 124,283; 132,282 (R2); 142,430 (R3)
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Trend: Small Bullish. Price is above EMA9/21 (121,605/120,423), RSI > 50, MACD positive, but pressured by R1~R2 range, needs breakthrough confirmation.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Falls below EMA21 120,423
🟢 Add Long: Backtest EMA9 121,605 not triggered; 120,800~120,400 not triggered
🚀 Breakout to Add Long: 4H stands above R2 123,746
🎯 Take Profit: 123,746; 126,281; 128,181
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#BTC 【1H】#BTC Small Bearish. Price falls back below EMA9/21 (122,860/122,146), RSI declines, KD dead cross, DMI shows ADX > 20 and -DI > +DI, short-term is weak.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Closes back above EMA21 122,146
🟢 Add Short: Rebound to EMA9 122,860 not triggered; 122,600~122,900 not triggered
🚨 Breakout to Add Short: Falls below R1 121,250 and increases volume
🎯 Take Profit: 120,600; 119,600; 118,200 (near extension of EMA200)
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【#BTC Strategy Summary】
Operation #BTC - Short-term: Based on 1H right-side bearish, rebound to 122.6k~122.9k to set up short, stop loss above 122.15k; falls below 121.25k to chase short, target 120.6k→119.6k→118.2k.
- Medium Term: 4H still small bullish, if 120.4k holds, lean bullish looking for R2 123.75k; if it falls below 120.4k, change to wait and see for a reclaim during the day.
- Long Term: Daily remains medium bullish, hold if 117,776 does not break; if daily closes above 124,283, it will open the range attack of 132k→142k.
- During the period of divergence between long and short, control leverage, strictly maintain stop loss at moving averages, and wait for directional breakouts at 121.25k or 123.75k.
