1. Understanding the essence of increasing position

  1. Three Major Positioning Misunderstandings

  • Not a lifesaving tool (averaging down)

  • Not a gambling method (emotional averaging up)

  • Is a trend amplifier (expanding gains during profits)

  1. Core Principles

  • Only increase positions on floating profit

  • Total position for a single variety ≤ 30%

  • Each increase in position is considered an independent new position

2. Golden Timing for Increasing Position

Three phases of trend market:

1. Startup Phase (first position 5%) ← Breakthrough key level

2. Acceleration Phase (increase position by 3%) ← Pull back to trend line

3. Sprint Phase (increase position by 2%) ← Breakthrough previous high

3. Two Scientific Methods for Increasing Position

Pyramid Position Increasing Method (Recommended)

  • Decreasing position increase (5% → 3% → 2%)

  • Cost Advantage: Average cost of position below current price

  • Example: BTC from 30,000 → 50,000

  • 30,000: Open position 5%

    35,000: Increase position by 3%

    42,000: Increase position by 2%

    Average cost of position ≈ 35,600

  • Proportional Position Increasing Method (Advanced)

    • Fixed Proportional Increase (3% each time)

    • Requires larger market space

    • Suitable for high volatility varieties

4. Fatal Position Increasing Traps

1. Averaging down (diluting cost)

  • Error Cases:

  • Long ETH at 2000 → drop to 1800 (averaging down)

    → 1700 (add more) → 1600 (liquidation)

  • Correct Approach: Stop loss immediately at 3% loss

    2. Increasing positions in a volatile market

    • Typical Characteristics:

      • Frequent MACD golden crosses and dead crosses

      • Price hovers around the middle band of Bollinger Bands

    • Solution: Wait for breakthrough of ATR channel

5. Practical Risk Control System

  1. Dynamic Stop Loss Rules

    • First Position: Fixed 3% stop loss

    • After increasing position: Overall stop loss moves up to cost price

    • After 5% profit: Use trailing stop loss

  2. Position Calculation Formula

Maximum increase in position = (Current Floating Profit - Potential Drawdown) / 2

Example: 100,000 account with 20,000 floating profit, expected drawdown of 10,000 → can increase position by 5,000

6. Institutional Level Position Increasing Strategies

  1. Volatility Adaptation Model

    • Low Volatility (ATR<2%): No additional position

    • Medium Volatility (2-5%): Can increase once

    • High Volatility (>5%): Can increase twice

  2. Time Filtering Mechanism

    • Intraday Trading: No additional position

    • Swing Trading: Interval ≥ 3 days

    • Trend Trading: Interval ≥ 1 week

2023 ETH Practical Case: Starting from 1200 USD, executing pyramid position increase at three key points: breakthrough at 1500 (first position), pull back to 1400 (increase position), breakthrough at 1800 (increase position), ultimately capturing 80% of the rise with a maximum position of 12%, while keeping maximum risk under 3%.

Ultimate Suggestion:

Use the "Three-Step Verification Method" to decide on increasing position:

  1. Has the trend been validated through 3 time cycles (weekly/daily/4H in the same direction)?

  2. Is volatility continuously expanding (ATR rising)?

  3. Is the account risk rate at <5%?

Remember: Excellent position increasing allows profits to run, not to rescue losses. Before each position increase, ask yourself: If this is a new trade, would I still enter?

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