#以太坊创历史新高倒计时
Last 4 Hours! ETH Trend Change Countdown
Follow Sister Xi, buy on the eve of the explosion, tomorrow the villa by the sea!
Today, Ethereum is once again trapped in a 'range-bound situation,' with prices oscillating between $4640 and $4800. As of 9:00 AM Beijing time, ETH is priced at $4713, down 0.75% in 24 hours, but with a weekly gain of 19.68%. There are three key technical signals:
Moving average squeeze hides trend change signal
Price is trapped between MA20 and MA60, 'moving average squeeze' indicates a trend change is near. The 4-hour MACD has just crossed bullish, and the histogram has turned positive, indicating short-term bullish momentum is accumulating. However, the RSI is overbought; historically, after breaking above 70, ETH often retraces by 5% - 8%.
Key level competition intensifies
The order book shows that there are 5.68 ETH concentrated sell orders at $4730, and a wall of buy orders at 200 ETH at $4700, suggesting the main force may be washing out here. In March 2025, when ETH broke above $2000, a similar 'sell order test - breakout - retest' pattern was observed.
Institutional movements conceal mysteries
Spot ETH ETFs have attracted over $1 billion in a single day, with institutions like BlackRock continuously increasing their holdings. Public companies such as SharpLink Gaming have purchased 438,000 ETH, indicating a long-term bullish outlook. However, when institutional holdings exceed 30% of the circulating supply, the market may experience volatility due to tightening liquidity.
Pay close attention to the three key signals:
- Break above $4785, lightly position long, target above $4800, stop loss at $4760;
- Drop below $4680, beware of long liquidation, support levels at $4640 and $4560;
- The safest strategy: wait for a clear breakout of the range and focus on the $4700 'buy order support.'
Special reminder: At 20:30 tonight, the U.S. weekly initial unemployment claims will be released. Poor data may trigger risk aversion in the crypto market. Set a 5% floating stop loss, watch Bitcoin; if BTC breaks $125,000, ETH often follows with a rebound.
Do you think ETH will break above $4800 tonight, or retest $4640?
Sister Xi believes it will definitely break $4800, what do you think???