#降息预期

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 94.3%

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 0%, the probability of a 25 basis points cut is 94.3%, and the probability of a 50 basis points cut is 5.7%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 0%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis points cut is 31.8%, the cumulative probability of a 50 basis points cut is 64.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 75 basis points cut is 3.8%.

Are we about to see three consecutive cuts?