Price declines do not necessarily indicate a reversal. True trend changes come with clear structural signals.
This chart is a classic example:
On the left side, there is an upward trend; although the price experiences multiple declines along the way, they are merely pullbacks and do not disrupt the overall ascending rhythm. The right side, however, shows a true trend reversal, with a complete change in direction and the price continuing to decline.
How to differentiate between a pullback and a reversal?
The key lies in the following three structural judgments:
1. Does it break the trend rhythm?
A pullback may decline but still maintains "higher highs and higher lows," indicating that the trend continues. Only when "lower highs and lower lows" appear does it signal the beginning of a trend reversal.
2. Does it break key structures?
Pullbacks typically do not break previous lows or significant support. In contrast, a reversal is accompanied by the loss of key levels, indicating a complete structural breakdown.
3. Is there a trendline inflection point?
During a pullback phase, the trendline support remains valid;
During a reversal, the trendline is clearly broken, and the price action is rearranged. Price declines do not necessarily indicate a reversal. True trend changes come with clear structural signals.