BNB Breakout: Will $820 Hold or Is $850 the Next Stop?
Today’s action has been all about the $820 zone.
We’ve spent the session grinding in the $798–$818 range, with buyers stepping in every time we dip close to $800.
The question is simple — do we flip $820 into support, or do we fade back into the range?
Why $820 Matters
It’s the top of the recent impulse zone — the level many traders have been tracking as the “breakout trigger.”
A clean close and hold above this level usually opens the path to $835–$842, and from there, it doesn’t take much for price to squeeze into $850+
Key Levels I’m Watching
Support:
➣ $805–$810 → session pivot, needs to hold for bulls to stay in control
➣ $795–$800 → the shelf where buyers have been defending dips
➣ $770s → only in play if momentum truly breaks
Resistance:
► $820 → breakout trigger
► $835–$842 → pre-ATH supply
► $850 → psychological wall
► 859–$860 → the ATH itself
Why I’m Still Leaning Bullish
► We’re only two weeks removed from a new ATH — trend is intact. Momentum names usually re-test highs after tight consolidations.
► Binance is still king on volumes (~35%+ share in Q2), and that exchange strength tends to feed the BNB bid
► Deflation narrative stays alive with quarterly Auto-Burn (1.58M BNB destroyed in Q1’25). Next burn cycle is on deck
► BNB Chain roadmap keeps delivering — Rust client, faster finality, and activity on opBNB/Greenfield are all small tailwinds that help dips get bought.
What Could Invalidate
If $820 rejects again and we see a daily close back under $805, we’re back in chop.
Lose $805 and $795–$800 comes into focus. If that shelf breaks, the $770s are the likely landing spot.
My Base Case (Next 1–7 Days)
➣ Bull Path:
Flip $820 to support → push into $835–$842 → $850. If $850 flips, an ATH re-test at $859 is very much on the table.
➣ Bear Path:
Fail at $820 → rotate back into $805–$810. Lose that, and it’s a trip to $795–$800 for another buyer check
How I’m Trading It (Spot)
Continuation Long: Above $820 with a clean 15–60 min acceptance
Targets: $835 → $848–$850.
Invalidation: back inside $815
Range Fade: If $820 rejects with clear selling pressure, short back to $805–$810. Cover into $800. Lose $800, step aside — HTF still bullish.
NFA
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