📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/08/12) Morning Analysis
Short-term bulls return! 1H is back above the moving average and has a right-side bullish, 4H is still below the moving average leaning bearish, daily holds EMA21 small bullish. The tug-of-war zone is at 118k~118.5k, if it breaks out with volume, it will aim directly at R1, details as follows 👇
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#BTC 【1D】
Trend: Small bullish. Price is above EMA21 (≈115,928), close to EMA9 (≈117,979), RSI > 50, DMI shows +DI > -DI and ADx > 20, MACD is still weak but the bullish structure remains intact.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Breaks below EMA21 115,928 and closes below
🟢 Add Long: Backtest EMA9 117,979 not triggered; backtest EMA21 115,928 not triggered
🚀 Breakout Follow Long: Daily closes above R1 about 124,282 and stabilizes
🎯 Take Profit: 121,250 zone; 124,282; 128,922 (R2)
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Trend: Small bearish. Price is still below EMA9/21 (≈118,000/118,268), RSI < 50, KD in weak zone, MACD < 0; DMI shows -DI > +DI, short to medium-term remains bearish.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Stays above EMA21 118,268
🟢 Add Short: Bounce back to EMA9 118,000 not triggered; 118,200~118,500 not triggered
🚨 Breakout Follow Short: Falls below 115,400 (near 4H low/ lower range) with volume
🎯 Take Profit: 114,900; 112,700; 110,700 zone
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#BTC 【1H】#BTC Medium Bullish. Price returns above EMA9/21 (≈116,504/115,897), RSI ≈ 73, DMI ADX > 20 and +DI > -DI, right-side bullish established, but KD at high-level stagnation watch for pullback.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Breaks below EMA21 115,897
🟢 Add Long: Backtest EMA9 116,504 not triggered; 115,950~116,100 not triggered
🚀 Breakout Follow Long: Stays above 118,240 (upper range); strong continuation looks at 121,250 (current resistance/R1 zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 118,240; 119,600; 121,250
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【#BTC Strategy Summary】
Operation #BTC - Short-term: Respond with 1H right-side bullish, add long near 116.5k on pullback, stop loss 115.9k; if it breaks out with volume above 118.24k, can add long, exit in batches at 119.6k/121.25k.
- Medium-term: 4H has not turned bullish yet, 118.0k~118.3k is the bearish defense zone, if unable to recover, lean bearish towards 115.4k→112.7k.
- Long-term: Daily small bullish continues, maintaining bullish if 115,928 holds; closing above 124,282 will open up the space for 128,922.
- Risk Control: During divergence of long and short signals, reduce leverage, strictly adhere to stop losses at moving averages; expand positions if breaking the range.
