Jin Ten Data: According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 9.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 90.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 3.0%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 33.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 63.5%.