Will Bitcoin inevitably fall before the CPI data release? This time, Bitcoin is going to crush the bears!

Does BTC have a hidden "rebound code" before and after the CPI/PPI data releases? Tege reveals the mysterious pattern.

A major discovery has recently emerged in the crypto market: if Bitcoin experiences a pullback before the release of CPI or PPI data, it often rebounds quickly after the data is released. Conversely, if it continues to strengthen before the data release, it may actually correct after the release.

Tege points out three key reasons behind this pattern:

First, institutional investors tend to "buy expectations and sell facts";

Second, quantitative fund algorithms capture the volatility patterns during the data window;

Third, hedging operations in the derivatives market before and after the data release exacerbate price fluctuations. Especially with the current market expectation of a September Fed rate cut at 85%, this may create a new window for Bitcoin to fluctuate.

For retail investors, three key points are worth considering:

1. Keep in mind the CPI data release date for the second week of each month, at 8:30 PM Beijing time on Tuesday;

2. Avoid blindly chasing ups and downs in the three days leading up to the data release;

3. Incorporate options strategies to hedge against volatility risk. However, remember that market uncertainty is always present. When the June 2023 CPI data exceeded expectations, BTC broke its usual trend.

The crypto market is currently experiencing a period of deep integration between traditional finance and digital assets. Macroeconomic indicators such as CPI and PPI have become important indicators of BTC's performance. While investors focus on technical analysis, it's also helpful to be sensitive to macroeconomic data—perhaps the next "golden window" is quietly opening with the data release.

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