Tonight's CPI forecast and market trend perspectives, I personally favor two scenarios, hoping to be helpful to everyone. The scenarios are for reference only, and once the CPI is any other value, the forecast is void!

When mentioning CPI, one cannot avoid discussing oil prices in the United States, which have a very strong correlation. From the data, oil prices in June are greater than those in May, so CPI has risen from 2.4% to 2.7%. However, oil prices in July are currently significantly lower than in June, and the expectation is 2.8%, which is likely unreasonable; the most probable values are between 2.6% and 2.7%. Therefore, I will directly analyze these two possibilities, and once any other value occurs, the analysis is void!

- CPI: 2.6%, which is not only lower than expected but also lower than last month, the market will rise quickly (mainly due to retail investor behavior), then institutions will dump and spike prices, liquidating retail long positions to seize liquidity, and then start a new round of rallying (overall trend: rise, then dump, then rise again)

- CPI: 2.7%, after a sideways movement, first dump then rise $BTC $ETH #以太坊生态回暖 #CPI数据来袭