Russia's economic challenges in 2025 are intensifying, with significant implications for its military operations and the global economy.
---
🇷🇺 Russia's Economic Strain
- *Depleting Reserves*: The National Wealth Fund's liquid assets have decreased by 71% since 2022, with projections indicating further reductions. [1]
- *Oil Revenue Decline*: Oil revenues are forecasted to drop by 24% in 2025, exacerbated by sanctions and enforcement actions against Russia's "shadow fleet." [2][3]
- *Rising Military Expenditures*: Defense spending has surged to over 43% of the national budget, leading to cuts in social programs and increased taxes. [1]
- *Labor Shortages*: The war has caused significant labor shortages due to casualties, emigration, and military mobilization. [2]
---
🌍 Global Market Implications
- *Energy Market Volatility*: U.S. tariffs on Indian imports, in response to India's continued purchases of Russian oil, could disrupt global oil supply chains. [4]
- *Investor Caution*: Geopolitical uncertainties are leading to increased risk premiums and potential capital outflows, particularly in emerging markets. [5]
---
🧭 Future Outlook