Today I sold 33% of my $ETH holdings. Many will call me a fool for what I'm about to do... But I have seen this pattern in 2017 and 2021. 👇 Here’s why I will sell everything by the end of October.
1️⃣ I remain optimistic about the market at this time, but my plan is to completely exit by the end of October.
BTC has doubled from this year's low, indicating strong momentum and demand from institutions.
ETH has broken and held above the $4,200 mark, opening up opportunities for a final breakout in the coming weeks.
The current setup looks very strong, but every cycle ends the same way — quickly and brutally once the peak has formed.
2️⃣ My short-term target for ETH is in the $5,800 – $6,000 range if the uptrend continues.
That would mean a threefold increase from the cycle low, in line with historical mid-cycle extension levels.
When ETH peaks, I expect capital to flow strongly into large-cap coins, then quickly shift to small-cap coins.
This rotation phase is where the largest profits of altseason occur — but it is also the most dangerous phase.
3️⃣ The BTC → ETH → large-cap coin → small alt cycle is a pattern that has repeated in 2017 and 2021, without exception.
Currently, we are in the ETH dominance phase, where the market is flooded with euphoria and liquidity is at its highest.
This phase typically only lasts a few weeks before liquidity completely withdraws from the market.
If you haven't planned your exit now, you are making yourself liquidity for others.
4️⃣ I predict BTC will start showing signs of a peak by the end of September, and ETH will follow shortly after.
By the end of October, BTC could drop to the $55K range, ETH back to $1,400, and SOL around $75.
This is not a pessimistic prediction — it is simply how corrections after peaks have historically unfolded.
Smart money usually withdraws a few months before retail investors realize the game is over.
5️⃣ The reason I am planning to exit now is that the market will not give you time to react when the uptrend ends.
Altcoins can drop 20–30% in just one day and will never return to their previous peak for the rest of the cycle.
When liquidity dries up, founders disappear, narratives collapse, and support levels will be broken immediately.
If you don't sell when the market is strong, you will sell in panic — and that never yields profit.
6️⃣ Important indicators like NUPL, SOPR, and MVRV have always signaled peaks in previous cycles.
NUPL at +0.75 indicates a very high level of unrealized profit across all holders — a major warning sign.
SOPR turning negative indicates coins are being sold at a loss after the euphoria peaked.
MVRV in the deep red means the market value is significantly higher than the cost basis — and this cannot be sustained long-term.
7️⃣ I will also closely monitor the BTC Dominance index — when it breaks down while ETH peaks, altseason will enter the blow-off top phase.
An Altseason Index above 65 is another signal that the final wave of speculation has begun.
This phase looks very bullish, but it is actually the most dangerous part of the market.
Smart players will exit when they still feel 'I can make more'.
8️⃣ My strategy is to sell in stages rather than trying to catch the absolute top.
Step 1 – Take profits on the riskiest altcoins first, especially meme coins and low liquidity plays.
Step 2 – Exit large-cap coins like SOL, AVAX, and MATIC during the days when capital rotation peaks.
Step 3 – Gradually reduce your ETH and BTC positions, shifting to stablecoins and profit-generating channels before mid-October.
9️⃣ I am optimistic at this moment because the interest rate cut in September will be a short-term catalyst for the crypto market.
The influx of funds will drive the final surge of the bull run, creating strong rebounds across the board.
But this rally will happen very quickly — measured in weeks, not months — so planning your exit now is extremely important.
Waiting until you 'feel the time is right' almost always means you've waited too long.
🔟 The biggest mistake traders often make is thinking that after the first drop, there will always be a bounce.
A -10% correction will turn into -30%, then -50%, and at that point, you will be stuck holding, waiting many years for it to recover.
I have made that mistake before — and that is why I always sell when the market is strong rather than when it is weak.
The bear market starts immediately, not gradually.
⏸️ You don’t need to sell everything at once — selling gradually will keep you positioned if prices continue to rise.
The goal is to exit the market with a life-changing profit, not to try to catch an unpredictable peak.
If you’ve made 20x, holding out for 22x is betting with your future. Protect what you’ve earned before the market takes it back.
1️⃣2️⃣ The cycle peak will look like the most bullish moment — record trading volumes, news headlines continuously talking about ATH, and unending hype.
That is precisely when smart money quietly unloads. If you want to be in that group, you need to prepare before October. Because when the 'music' stops, it will be too late to find a chair.