The following is an attractiveness analysis of Cardano (ADA) for August 2025, combining technological breakthroughs, policy dividends, and ecological progress to distill the core points:
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🚀 Short-term breakout point: ETF expectations + technological upgrades
1. Probability of ETF approval reaches 83%-90%
◦ Bloomberg analysts predict that the Cardano spot ETF is likely to be approved in October. If approved, it will attract over $5 billion in institutional funds, becoming a core price catalyst.
◦ The Trump administration has included ADA in the national cryptocurrency reserves, reinforcing market confidence through policy endorsement.
2. Implementation of technological upgrades
◦ The IOE roadmap was approved by community vote (support rate 74%), investing $71 million to advance scalability, developer experience, and cross-chain interoperability upgrades.
◦ The Hydra scaling solution achieves TPS in the millions, while the Midnight cross-chain protocol enables seamless asset transfers with Ethereum and Solana, continuously strengthening ecological barriers.
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📈 Price momentum: Key resistance breakthrough imminent
• Technical pattern: Weekly breakout of the 'cup and handle' pattern; if it holds the resistance zone of $0.95-$1.05, the target is $1.85-$2.0; if the ETF is realized, the end-of-year target is $3.
• On-chain signals: Whale holdings stabilize, with 30-day MVRV (Market Value/Realized Value) rising to 22.43%, indicating holders are profiting but not selling off massively, supporting bullish expectations.
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⚠️ Risk warning: Leverage liquidation and overheating signals
1. Liquidation crisis: Below $0.749, there are $34 million in long liquidations; if it falls below this, it could trigger a chain sell-off, with short-term support looking at $0.78.
2. Technical overheating: RSI once reached 82.6 (overbought zone), caution is needed against pullback pressure; if it breaks below the $0.86 support, it may revisit $0.72-$0.68.
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💎 One-sentence conclusion
ADA is on the eve of an explosion driven by ETF policy dividends and technological upgrades—if it breaks through $0.95, it will open up double the space, with an end-of-year target of $3; however, with high leverage liquidation and regulatory battles, strict stop-loss measures must be maintained (at $0.78). #ada #ADA! $ETH #ada未來
