Jaw-dropping! #ETH Giant whales 'madly offloading', bulls 'at the end of their rope', do you dare to catch this 'death bottom'?
ETH bulls dominate, prices surge sharply along MA7 and break through the 4220 mark, but MACD momentum decreases, RSI is overbought, and volume 'increases without support', leading to distribution by the main players and retail investors picking up the pieces; bulls show signs of fatigue, and the probability of a pullback is high.
Above 4220, bulls are strong, 4150 - 4180 sees a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, below 4080 bears are attacking.
20:30 US PPI data, if higher than expected, open short above 4150; if lower than expected, ambush long at 4080.
Short-term: 80% probability of a deep pullback, main players may induce a rally back to 4080, extreme down to 3950; 20% probability of continuation requires data to be far below expectations and volume to break through 4220. Mid-term: 3950 is the lifeline for bulls to attempt a bottom, breaking below 3880 turns fully bearish.
The giant whales are suspected of offloading. According to the formula, the position limit calculated is current price ≤ 8.1%. Stick to discipline, reduce positions if it breaks below 4080, and verification is needed to break through 4220, keeping 70% cash for opportunities.
ETH market is contradictory, holders take profits, those without positions hold 4080, long-term investors layout below 3950, don’t be greedy, wait for RWA to materialize.
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