In the crypto space over the years, my biggest insight is —
You cannot focus on just one timeframe.
Too many people get shaken out by volatility, chasing highs and selling lows, ultimately losing direction.
Today I will clarify the multi-period analysis method I have been using.
It is suitable for friends who are new to the space, as well as those who frequently incur losses and lack a sense of rhythm.
① 4-hour candlestick — Determine direction, first decide whether to go long or short.
This is your trading compass; if the direction is wrong, no effort will help.
Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows → Pullbacks are opportunities; don’t panic, look for low entries.
Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows → Don’t fantasize about rebounds; observe more and act less.
Consolidation: Prices repeatedly pull within a range → Reduce trading to avoid getting chopped up.
Core principle: Do not go against the trend.
The first step to losing money is to go against the big trend.
② 1-hour candlestick — Mark key positions, lock in battlefield range.
Once the direction is right, you still need to know where to enter and where to exit.
Look for support, resistance, previous highs and lows, and important areas like moving average intersections.
When the price touches the 20-period moving average in a trend → It may be a safe entry opportunity.
Hitting a previous high and getting stuck → Often signals a short-term peak.
Be patient for positions; don’t open orders casually.
③ 15-minute candlestick — Wait for signals before pulling the trigger.
In this cycle, focus on entry opportunities rather than trends.
Only consider taking action when key positions show engulfing patterns, bottom divergences, golden crosses, and other reversal signals.
Volume must increase to indicate market recognition; otherwise, it is a false breakout.
My rhythm is:
Trend is right → Position is reached → Signal appears → Take action.
Three doors, none can be missing.
Multi-period trading mantra.
Determine direction: Start with the 4-hour chart to check the trend → Clarify whether to go long or short.
Mark positions: Use the 1-hour chart to outline key areas → Lock in observation points.
Wait for signals: Confirm signals on the 15-minute chart → Then execute the entry.
Lessons learned from significant losses.
If several periods conflict → It’s better not to trade than to force it.
Small timeframes fluctuate quickly → Always use stop-loss.
Do not trade based on 'feelings' → Use a system to cultivate a sense of rhythm, and your win rate will stabilize.
I have practiced this method for two years; it has become muscle memory.
Trading is not luck; it is execution + system.
If you want to find your own rhythm,
Welcome to chat; I also want to hear about your practical challenges.
Intraday focus: LNIK XMR.