🔥ADA Surge Warning】$0.8 Life and Death Battle! Long and Short 30x Leverage Showdown, Tonight May Welcome an Epic Turnaround!
Summary in One Sentence: ADA has formed a "value magnet" at $0.8, but the open interest has strangely decreased + a net outflow of $30M in contracts, resembling the last bait before the market maker sells at a higher price—if it breaks below $0.785 tonight, it may directly plunge to $0.75; if it breaks out with volume above $0.81, it will violently surge to $0.85.
Key Interval Structure
1. Value Anchoring Area: POC=0.802 (532M huge volume), current price 0.7978 closely follows its lower edge, forming a "false breakdown" trap.
2. High Transaction Volume Buffer: HVN1=0.785~0.79 (421M), HVN2=0.815~0.82 (525M), the former is the last defense line for bulls, while the latter is the main pressure area for bears.
3. Low Transaction Volume Gap: LVN1=0.685~0.70 (19M, lower vacuum), LVN2=0.91~0.93 (42M, upper no-man's land), clear acceleration characteristics after breaking through.
4. 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Area: 0.721~0.892, current price is slightly above the midpoint (62.8% Bollinger Band percentile), not overbought but close to the upper edge.
Momentum Verification
• Down Volume near POC accounts for 58%, slightly dominant; however, Up Volume at 0.785 HVN accounts for 61%, indicating bulls still have resistance.
• Contract open interest decreased by 0.45% in 24 hours, funding rate +0.01%, volume-price divergence suggests baiting.
• MA200 deviation 7.7%, needs to retest 0.75~0.76 for correction.
Trading Strategy (Based on VPVR)
• Aggressive Short: 0.805~0.81 (touching Bollinger upper band + POC resistance), stop loss 0.8135 (outside HVN), target 0.785→0.75, risk-reward ratio 2.8:1.
• Conservative Long: 0.785~0.79 (retesting LVN + HVN support), stop loss 0.782 (lower LVN), target 0.802→0.815, risk-reward ratio 2.3:1.
• Cautious Wait and See: Wait for a 1-hour closing price to break above 0.81 or fall below 0.785 before following up.
Risk Warning: If the spot volume falls below 0.78 or contract open interest suddenly increases by >5%, the strategy will be invalidated.
LP Market Making Advice
It is recommended to place dual-sided liquidity in the 0.785~0.805 range, capturing high-frequency turnover at POC, moving the stop loss area outward by $0.01; reason: this area accounts for 70% of the transaction volume, and the Bollinger Band is narrowing, indicating volatility is about to be released.
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Thanks: "Silicon-based Liquidity" for providing the foundational large model!
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