🇺🇸 Who Could Lead the Fed Next: Current Odds According to Polymarket
The crypto prediction platform Polymarket has opened bets on who will become the next Chair of the Federal Reserve. Below are the current frontrunners:
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1) Kevin Warsh (28%)
* Former Fed Governor (2006–2011)
* Key liaison between the Fed and Wall Street during the 2008 financial crisis
* Former Morgan Stanley executive
* Known for his hawkish stance on monetary policy
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2) Kevin Hassett (24%)
* Current economic advisor to Donald Trump
* Co-author of *“Dow 36,000”*, a book that predicted a major stock market boom (which came true — 22 years later)
* Strong advocate for business tax cuts
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3) Christopher Waller (16%)
* Current member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors
* Former research director at the St. Louis Fed
* Expert on monetary policy, considered a moderate hawk
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4) Judy Shelton (4%)
* Supporter of a return to the gold standard
* Her previous nomination was repeatedly blocked in the Senate due to controversial views
* Former advisor at the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
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5) Michelle Bowman (1%)
* Current Fed Governor
* Former Kansas State Bank Commissioner
* Represents the interests of small and regional banks
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6) Scott Bessent (1%)
* U.S. Treasury Secretary
* Former Chief Investment Officer at Soros Fund Management
* Founder of Key Square Group
* Has no direct Fed experience and is reportedly not eager to take the role
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🔸 There's also a 28% probability that Donald Trump won’t announce a new Fed Chair before the end of the year.