🚨 Bitcoin’s Famous 4-Year Cycle Might Be Over! 🚨
For over a decade, Bitcoin followed a predictable 4-year halving cycle — rallying after each halving, then crashing up to 80%, before starting fresh.
But 2024 changed the game.
📌 What’s Different This Time?
Spot Bitcoin ETFs launched in Jan 2024, attracting massive institutional inflows before the halving.
Big players + long-term holders are absorbing supply.
Supportive regulation under Trump, including a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve.
Macro backdrop: Falling interest rates likely ahead.
📊 Signs the Cycle Is Breaking:
All-time high ($73K) hit before the halving — a first in BTC history.
Current ATH: $123K (July 14, 2025).
Corrections are milder — biggest drop this cycle: 26%, not the brutal 70–80% from past cycles.
💡 Analysts Say:
“I think the 4-year cycle is over.” – Matthew Hougan, Bitwise CIO
“The era of brutal 80% drawdowns is behind us.” – Ryan Chow, Solv Protocol
📆 Historically, the biggest gains came 500–720 days post-halving — meaning Q3 2025 to early Q1 2026 could still see fireworks.
🔥 If the cycle is truly dead, BTC may now move more like a macro asset, with 30–50% pullbacks instead of full-on crypto winters.
Do you think the Bitcoin halving cycle is history?
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