On the road of playing in the crypto circle, the mindset secret hidden in dumb methods: not fidgeting is the greatest clarity!
Having stayed in the crypto circle for a long time, you will inevitably see two extremes: one is obsessively drawing moving averages on the candlestick chart, counting wave patterns, and staying up late watching the market, but the account keeps shrinking; the other seems to be 'random trading,' without analysis or prediction, but instead gradually accumulates profits through volatility. The former always thinks the latter is lucky, while the latter understands that they have simply learned to 'not fidget.'
In fact, the so-called 'dumb methods' are essentially a lock on a restless mindset.
You say, 'Only buy breakouts, don't touch consolidations.' The core is not to be superstitious about breakouts, but to refuse to gamble in ambiguous market conditions. During consolidations, candlesticks are like headless flies; some always think they can catch the bottom, but end up getting hurt in the back-and-forth struggle. When a breakout signal appears, even if there is a false breakout, it at least provides a clear 'stop-loss anchor point' — if you're wrong, admit it, don't get attached, and don't fantasize. This actually uses simple rules to extinguish the delusion of 'I can predict the market.'
You say, 'Only use 20% of your capital.' It's not rigid, but rather sets a limit on greed. There are too many myths of huge profits in the crypto circle, and there are always people who believe 'a heavy investment can turn things around,' only to return to square one after a black swan event. A 20% position essentially accepts 'slow earnings': when you earn, you won't regret it because your position is light; when you lose, you won't collapse because your position is heavy. This 'non-pursuit of extreme returns' mindset can actually help you survive long-term volatility — surviving gives you the chance to wait for trends.
You say, 'Only trade markets you understand.' It's not about lacking ability, but about knowing when to lower your head to the market. Some always think about 'catching the top and bottom,' believing they are smarter than the market, only to stubbornly hold on during trend reversals and turn profits into losses. The essence of 'chasing highs and cutting losses' is to acknowledge that 'the market is always right': don't guess the top during uptrends, don't guess the bottom during downtrends, just follow the trend without opposing it. This 'non-confrontational' mindset precisely avoids the pitfalls where most people stumble.
But it must be clear that the effectiveness of 'dumb methods' never relies on 'the method itself,' but rather on the mindset during execution — the decisiveness of 'admitting losses when wrong without getting entangled,' the restraint of 'taking profits without being greedy,' and the patience of 'being in cash when unsure.'
Just like some people who make money using this method, it's not because breakouts are so accurate, but because they can really stop-loss immediately during a false breakout, not being kidnapped by the thought of 'waiting a bit longer, it might come back'; it's not because 20% positions are magical, but because they can truly resist the impulse to 'add more capital to earn more'; it's not because trends are easy to catch, but because they can completely go to cash when they don't understand, not being overwhelmed by the anxiety of 'what if I miss the market.'
Conversely, why do some people still lose with the same methods? Because their mindset doesn't keep up: during a false breakout, they can't bear to stop-loss, always thinking 'the market is just washing out'; after making a little profit, they want to increase their position, turning 20% into 50%; they can't resist the itch during an incomprehensible market, always thinking 'this time is different.'
Ultimately, what torments people in the crypto circle is never the technology, but the mindset. No matter how complex the candlestick chart is, it cannot surpass controlling one's own greed and fear; no matter how simple the method is, it cannot withstand the restlessness of 'wanting to take shortcuts.'
Those who make money with 'dumb methods' actually first understand one thing: in a highly volatile market, 'making fewer mistakes' is more important than 'making more money.' Not fidgeting is not about lying flat, but about using rules to trap one's own 'small cleverness' and waiting patiently for the market that belongs to you.
After all, those who can survive in the crypto circle are never the best at drawing lines, but the best at managing themselves.
