Toshi's price (TOSHI) recently dropped 5.61% after a strong increase, traders need to be aware of short-term volatility risks and the potential for false breakouts before the price returns to critical resistance levels.
Toshi's recent price volatility reflects the overall risk of the meme coin market due to weakened buying power and significant short-term liquidation pressure. Investors should particularly pay attention to the support zone around $0.0006 and the Descending Triangle pattern on the chart.
MAIN CONTENT
Toshi's price has dropped 5.61% after a 34% surge in the first three days of August, before adjusting back to the critical support zone.
Charts and technical indicators show a descending triangle pattern and weakening buying pressure, warning of a potential fake breakout to attract liquidity.
The liquidation heatmap indicates that liquidity is concentrated around the $0.006 zone, signaling risks of significant volatility and the possibility of the price testing this area again.
What is Toshi and what are the notable features of the Toshi market?
Toshi is a meme coin within the Base Blockchain ecosystem, which has seen strong price volatility recently but has not established a clear long-term growth trend.
As a representative meme coin on the Base Blockchain, Toshi receives attention due to its explosive potential but also frequently suffers from major correction waves in the entire meme coin market. Besides short-term surges, Toshi's price primarily fluctuates around critical resistance and support zones without establishing a strong uptrend.
The characteristic of meme coins is that they often explode powerfully but come with dizzying risks. Investors need to clearly understand when to enter and exit, especially at key technical support/resistance zones.
Mai Tung, cryptocurrency technical analysis expert, Vietstock interview 2024.
Toshi also shows a significant influence from short-term traders, as each Pump or Dump attracts strong FOMO money flow, leading to a higher risk of liquidity traps occurring more frequently than with other foundational coins.
How has Toshi's price fluctuated recently?
Toshi's price recently dropped 5.61% in 24 hours after a 34% surge from Sunday, August 3rd to Wednesday, August 6th, followed by a return to adjustment.
This event clearly reflects the sudden volatility characteristic of meme coins. Toshi's rally lasted only 3 days before the price sharply dropped alongside the overall adjustment of the meme coin market. Meanwhile, only Bonk managed to break through the May resistance.
According to TradingView data, this prominent Pullback-after-Pump pattern shows that without new money flow or a sudden buying force, the upward waves are merely short-term, and price traps are likely to occur.
What overall trend does the meme coin market show, and what differentiates Toshi?
The entire meme coin sector has recently not generated long-term growth trends but mainly only short-term Pump & Dump waves. Toshi is no exception.
Specifically for Toshi, recent breakouts have all lacked sustainable buying power, causing the uptrend cycle to be cut short and quickly adjust strongly. Only a few meme coins like Bonk have managed to surpass strong resistances, specifically the May 2025 zone.
The stagnation on the meme coin chart reflects the overall market's risk sentiment amid weakening liquidity; investors should closely manage capital with assets that exhibit erratic movements like Toshi.
Nguyen Lam, CEO of DeFi Group Investment Fund, shares insights from the Vietnam Blockchain Summit 2025.
Despite having a large community, Toshi lacks the fundamental development or standout application factors that some major tokens in the same ecosystem possess, making its price more prone to being a 'game' of short-term capital flows.
What is Toshi's latest technical structure on major time frames?
On the 1-hour chart, Toshi switched its market structure to bullish after surpassing the $0.00065 mark, yet the buying strength indicator remains weak.
After the rally since June, the market recorded a bullish swing structure; however, retracing to the Fibonacci 61.8% zone at $0.000518 has led to recent rebounds. The important point is that the DMI indicator confirms that the uptrend still exists, but the A/D indicator has been declining since June, reflecting tightened buying power.
The A/D indicator shows that buying momentum is gradually weakening; a stronger new demand force is definitely needed if the price is to sustainably rebound above the $0.00065 zone.
CryptoQuant market report, July 2025.
When closely observing the 1-hour chart, the price zone of $0.0006-$0.00062 has served as a key resistance for the past two weeks before being tested again as a support zone, signaling the risk of a price reversal if money flow does not return strongly.
What technical pattern is Toshi forming, and is the breakout signal reliable?
The 1-hour chart shows Toshi forming a Descending Triangle pattern, with the $0.0006-$0.00062 zone serving as a crucial support level for the next trend.
According to technical analysis theory, descending triangles often indicate market accumulation before a breakout occurs. This time, the MFI indicator again confirms weak buying power, warning of a relatively high risk of a fake breakout. If buying power does not improve in the coming sessions, it could lead to a deeper Dump.
It is quite common for many meme coins to form descending triangles and then fake breakouts to hunt for stop-losses, especially with large leveraged order volumes like Toshi currently.
Le Hung, On-chain chart analysis expert, CryptoViet channel, August 2025
In a worst-case scenario, if Toshi loses the key technical support zone, the price is likely to be sold off massively when complex liquidation forces appear across the entire meme coin system.
What does Toshi's liquidation heatmap reveal about sensitive price levels?
Coinglass' 2-week liquidation heatmap data shows significant liquidity concentrated above the $0.006 zone, coinciding with the analysis of the gravity price area on the daily chart.
When large liquidations occur at certain price levels, the risk of the market creating 'traps' to extract liquidity from traders increases. This could result in a swift sweep above $0.006 before a rise to $0.007.
Technical factors affecting Toshi's price: Descending triangle pattern (1H) signals a potential breakout, but the lack of substantial buying power makes fake breakouts more likely. Concentrated liquidity (heatmap) indicates a potential large 'order sweep' around $0.006, after which the price may advance towards $0.007. A/D has been declining since June. Weak buying pressure persists, limiting the ability to form a long-term uptrend cycle.
How should traders manage their capital and strategy with Toshi at the current price level?
In light of strong volatility and technical indicators not aligning, a reasonable strategy for traders is to tightly control positions, avoid excessive leverage, and wait for clear confirmation regarding the potential for a breakout.
The large liquidity context around $0.006 remains a 'magnet' for Pump & Dump moves; entering orders early risks hitting stop-losses when prices are suddenly reversed. Especially, the money flow indicators have not yet turned positive, so it's advisable to avoid FOMO during this period.
What is the relationship between Toshi's trend and other major meme coins currently?
Besides Toshi, the overall meme coin sector has been highly volatile with deep adjustments. Bonk is the only meme coin that has recently managed to break through the May resistance threshold, while Toshi has not achieved this breakthrough.
Messari 2025's aggregated data shows that the advantage of some coins like Bonk comes from an active hodler community, clear staking foundations, and large-scale marketing events, which help maintain better buying power compared to Toshi.
Meme Coin | Notable Achievements | Competitive Advantages | Price Status 07/2025 | Toshi | Strong increase at the beginning of August but quickly adjusted, yet to surpass major resistance | Large community, exclusive meme for Base | Fluctuating near support edges, prone to volatility | Bonk | Successfully broke May resistance, attracted money flow even when other meme coins weakened | Staking, superior marketing policy | Strong growth during overall market fluctuations.
What macro factors/industry waves affect Toshi?
Not only Toshi, but the Fed's movements, interest rates, the capital flow trend from large funds, and the sentiment of DeFi investors significantly impact meme coins. When Bitcoin fluctuates or major ETF news emerges, the entire meme coin sector tends to collectively Pump or Dump, leading to significant volatility in Toshi even without specific news.
Investors expect a market recovery while being cautious of cross impacts among coin groups. When On-chain data about money flows and liquidation orders on exchanges increase, it often signals potential Pump & Dump waves.
What are the price forecasts and strategic risk scenarios for Toshi in the near future?
If the $0.0006-$0.00062 zone is maintained, one may expect a rebound up to around $0.007. Conversely, if this support is broken, the risk of a strong Dump is very high, especially in the context of weak money flows across the meme coin sector.
Price scenarios according to heatmap data indicate a high probability of an order sweep above $0.006 followed by a pullback to $0.007 before a strong adjustment occurs. Traders should only act when they see confirmation of returning positive money flow on key technical indicators like DMI, MFI.
Conclusion: What are the key pieces of advice for Toshi investors?
Strong price volatility, weak buying pressure, and technical models posing fake breakout risks are the main factors forcing Toshi investors to be extremely cautious at this stage. Prioritizing capital defense, waiting for clear confirmation signals, and tightly managing positions are wise choices when trading highly volatile meme coins like Toshi.
The meme coin market is always the place that reflects the most distinctive movement of money flow psychology, with prices able to rise and fall by tens of percent in a few hours. Prioritizing risk management is a vital principle.
Jane Street, meme coin market briefing report, June 2025
Keeping close to support/resistance zones and monitoring liquidity on large heatmaps will help reduce the risk of unwanted Pump & Dump in the context of meme coins continuously creating trap waves.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Toshi a safe meme coin for long-term investment?
No, Toshi is a meme coin with extremely volatile prices, more suitable for short-term trading rather than long-term holding. Investors need to closely manage risks and avoid FOMO.
What are the important price zones of Toshi currently?
The support zone of $0.0006-$0.00062 plays a crucial role; if broken, a deep Dump may occur, while if held, a rebound towards $0.007 could happen.
What technical pattern is emerging on Toshi's chart?
The 1H chart is forming a descending triangle pattern, warning of the risk of a fake breakout and sweeping traders' stop-losses, especially with large volume.
What is the notable difference between Toshi and Bonk?
Bonk has a strong marketing foundation and community, recently successfully breaking May resistance, while Toshi has not reached major peaks or attracted new money flow.
How to minimize the risk of Pump & Dump when trading Toshi?
Do not buy on FOMO; only trade when there is clear technical confirmation, set tight stop-losses, and closely monitor liquidity data on large heatmaps like Coinglass.
How are meme coins related to Bitcoin's upward/downward waves?
When Bitcoin experiences significant volatility, meme coins including Toshi often face chain reactions, showing strong Pump & Dump cycles following the overall industry trend.
Which indicators should be monitored when analyzing Toshi?
DMI, A/D, and MFI indicators all clearly reflect buying/selling strength and money flow momentum, which need to be closely monitored to avoid trading against market capital flow.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/toshi-co-the-dat-0007-usd/
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