Sometimes I feel like I have some logic that's somewhat correct and a bit bold. However, if I were a full-time trader with time to monitor the market, there are certain opportunities that could be capitalized on, although this is looking at it from a hindsight perspective.

At that time, I was extremely optimistic that the ETH/BTC exchange rate would reverse, even though it later dropped by about 35%.

If I were to trade on the right-side breakout, the exchange rate continued to decline, and the pending orders kept adjusting downwards; if it didn't break through, I wouldn't enter the market. Not to say I'd catch the lowest point, but it would still be at a relatively low position.

Of course, all of this is hindsight analysis, I just want to say that the logic behind this exchange rate is playable and feasible.