📉 Bitcoin Hits Lowest Volatility Since Oct 2023 – Calm Before the Storm?

Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility (BVIV index) has now dropped to 36.5% — levels not seen since October 2023, when BTC was still below $30K. Despite the current price ranging between $110K and $120K, the market has entered a period of stagnation and sideways chop.

📌 What does this mean?

Such low volatility usually signals:

1. Options traders are not rushing to hedge, suggesting they don’t expect big moves soon.

2. Weak demand for options, indicating a “wait-and-see” mode across the market.

⚠️ Historically, these conditions often precede major rallies. Back in October 2023, similar volatility lows were followed by a +50% price surge in just weeks.

🧠 Why is volatility so low now?

Institutions are selling volatility through option strategies.

BVIV is increasingly correlated with the VIX — Bitcoin now behaves more like equities.

Market makers and algos are suppressing price action into narrow ranges.

📊 Is this the calm before a breakout?

Possibly. When volatility is compressed, smart money prepares. Big moves often follow the most boring market conditions.

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So what do you think: is Bitcoin coiling for another explosive move, or are we being slowly distributed on the quiet?

$BTC

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