📉 Bitcoin Hits Lowest Volatility Since Oct 2023 – Calm Before the Storm?
Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility (BVIV index) has now dropped to 36.5% — levels not seen since October 2023, when BTC was still below $30K. Despite the current price ranging between $110K and $120K, the market has entered a period of stagnation and sideways chop.
📌 What does this mean?
Such low volatility usually signals:
1. Options traders are not rushing to hedge, suggesting they don’t expect big moves soon.
2. Weak demand for options, indicating a “wait-and-see” mode across the market.
⚠️ Historically, these conditions often precede major rallies. Back in October 2023, similar volatility lows were followed by a +50% price surge in just weeks.
🧠 Why is volatility so low now?
Institutions are selling volatility through option strategies.
BVIV is increasingly correlated with the VIX — Bitcoin now behaves more like equities.
Market makers and algos are suppressing price action into narrow ranges.
📊 Is this the calm before a breakout?
Possibly. When volatility is compressed, smart money prepares. Big moves often follow the most boring market conditions.
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So what do you think: is Bitcoin coiling for another explosive move, or are we being slowly distributed on the quiet?
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