Liangxi made 10 million by shorting with 10,000 capital; Tony made 20 million in a year with 50,000; the core strategy is rolling positions— a method of amplifying returns using high leverage and compound interest. Here are the key points of rolling positions:

The essence of rolling positions

  • Small capital + high leverage + compound interest: After each profit, reinvest the profits into the next trade to amplify returns.

    • Example: $300 capital, $10 per trade with 100x leverage, 1% fluctuation = 100% profit/loss. After profits, roll into the next order for compound growth.

    • Key Points:

      • Accurate directional judgment (bullish/bearish, avoid frequent switching)

      • Strict stop-loss (to avoid excessive single losses)

      • Gradually reduce positions after profits (to prevent profit withdrawal)

      Tony's rolling position rules

      • Only roll positions in major trends (e.g., BTC unidirectional rise/fall)

      • Add positions when profitable, do not add when losing (to avoid emotional trading)

      • Set clear take-profit points (e.g., stop when earning $5,000)

      • Retain 50% of funds to deal with extreme market conditions (to prevent liquidation).

      The fatal risks of rolling positions

      • Mathematical trap:

        • Even with a 60% win rate, the success probability of rolling positions 10 times in a row is only 0.6%.

        • Winning in the first 9 times, failing in the 10th can still lead to zero. Liquidity risk: large capital rolling positions may trigger reverse market volatility, leading to increased slippage.

        • Emotional Outburst: After consecutive stop losses, it's easy to over-invest and end up blowing up the account.

          Conclusion

          Rolling positions yield high returns but come with extremely high risks; suitable for experienced traders who can strictly discipline themselves. Ordinary people are more advised to use low leverage + trend following, avoiding blindly mimicking the extreme operations of Liangxi/Tony.

          • Ordinary trading: Single position opening, limited profit.

          • Rolling positions: Utilizing the effect of compound interest to achieve exponential growth in trending markets (e.g., Liangxi repeatedly increasing positions to short during ETH's sharp decline).

          • Conditions suitable for rolling positions

            • After the exchange's liquidation (forced liquidation leads to reverse volatility)

            • 5 minutes before the launch of a new coin (low liquidity, high volatility)

            • On-chain whale activity (large transfers indicate short-term trends)

              Can ordinary people replicate this?

              • Extremely difficult:

                • Requires full-time market watching (Tony trades for 16 hours a day)

                • High psychological quality (Liangxi blew up 37 times, and only succeeded after losing 5 million).

              • Alternative solutions:

                • Regular investments + grid trading (low risk, annualized 30%-50%)

                • Trend following + light position testing (1%-2% position tests).

                • Conclusion

                  Rolling positions yield high returns but come with extremely high risks; suitable for experienced traders who can strictly discipline themselves. Ordinary people are more advised to use low leverage + trend following, avoiding blindly mimicking the extreme operations of Liangxi/Tony.

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