【The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates in September is 93.6%】According to Golden Finance, based on CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate in September is 6.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 93.6%. The probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate in October is 2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 33.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 64%.