In the deep autumn of 2022, I burned all my technical analysis notes on the rooftop. The screen flashed with a liquidation order of 1 million U, and I had only 3000U left in my pocket, with the wind stinging my face. That day I suddenly realized: trading cryptocurrencies isn’t about being smart enough; it’s about complicating simple things.
Now my account is stable at 600,000 U, relying on a 'stupidly simple' single coin rolling method. No need to look at K-line indicators, no need to keep an eye on news, and even no need to understand blockchain — starting with 3000U, I turned it into 20 times in a year, bringing 3000U fans into the market, reaching 4563U in 3 months. Today I will break down this method so that even a fool can follow it.
1. There are only 3 strict rules; any more is unnecessary.
1. In this lifetime, only date one coin.
I chose ETH, not because it’s perfect, but because:
Daily fluctuations of 5%-8% are enough for rolling arbitrage.
Deep liquidity, 100,000 U can go in and out without slippage.
When the trend is clear, bull markets rise harder than BTC, and bear markets fall more steadily than altcoins.
You can choose BTC, but you must stick with it to the end. Last year, a fan I brought, Xiao Zhang, insisted on switching to SOL, losing his 3000U down to 1200U. Later, I forced him to switch back to ETH, and in 3 months, he not only made back his losses but also earned 800U. People who frequently switch coins are essentially paying transaction fees to exchanges.
2. Follow a single path to the end, don’t guess reversals.
Open the 4-hour chart and draw a 20-day moving average:
When the price is above the moving average, only go long; even if it drops, do not short (trend is bullish).
When the price is below the moving average, only short positions are taken, even if it goes up, no long positions are opened (trend is bearish).
In 2023, ETH stayed above the 20-day moving average for 8 months, so I was in for 8 months. No matter how severe the pullback was, I never opened a short position. Once it dropped by 15%, the group shouted 'the bear market is here,' but I followed the rules to increase my long position, and later made 3 times the profit when it rebounded. A one-sided approach is not about going against the trend; it's about letting the trend be your ATM.
3. The three-pocket split method always has a backup.
Divide 3000U into 3 pockets:
Left pocket 1000U: Ambush near the 20-day moving average (for example, if the moving average is at 2000 dollars, buy between 1950-2050 dollars).
Middle pocket 1000U: Add positions when breaking past previous highs (for example, if the previous high is 2200 dollars, add when it rises to 2210 dollars).
Right pocket 1000U: Keep for adding positions (if it drops more than 5% below the moving average, add in 3 times, 300U each time).
When Xiao Zhang first traded, he entered the left pocket with 1000U at 2000 dollars. When ETH dropped to 1900 dollars, according to the rules, he used the right pocket to add 300U, raising the cost to 1970 dollars. Later, when it rebounded to 2300 dollars, both trades were taken for profit, netting 330U — splitting positions is not about diversifying profits; it's about leaving a buffer for mistakes.
2. The core of rolling positions: Let profits grow like a snowball.
The profit point of this method lies in 'add positions when you earn, and lie flat when you lose.'
1. Take profits in 3 portions, each portion must see blood.
First trade: Sell half of the left pocket when making a 10% profit (for example, if 1000U earns 100U, sell 500U to pocket it).
Second trade: Sell half of the middle pocket when making a 20% profit (cash out the portion used for adding positions first).
Third trade: Set a trailing stop loss on the remaining amount (move it up from the cost price, clear if it drops by 5%).
Last year, ETH rose from 2000 dollars to 3000 dollars, and I rolled it 4 times using this trick:
The first take profit pocketed 500U.
After the second increase in positions, I made another 800U.
The last wave of clearing made a profit of 1200U.
With 3000U as capital, this wave will roll to 7500U.
2. There is only 1 stop loss, never drag it out.
Set a 3% stop loss as soon as you enter the left pocket (buy at 2000 dollars, stop loss at 1940 dollars), with a maximum loss of 60U. After adding to the right pocket, raise the total stop loss to the cost price (for example, if the cost after adding is 1970 dollars, clear if it falls to 1970 dollars).
Once, Xiao Zhang didn’t set a stop loss, and when ETH fell by 10%, he held on. I forced him to close the position, and he only lost 80U. He later reflected: 'I always thought, “Just wait a bit for a rebound,” but the longer I waited, the more I lost.' Stop loss isn’t giving up; it’s leaving capital for the next opportunity.
3. Why can even fools make money? Just go against human nature.
1. Not watching the market actually earns more.
I only check the market twice a day: placing orders at 8 AM and taking a glance at stop losses and profits at 8 PM. Last year, I went on a 7-day trip without checking the market, and when I returned, I found that ETH had risen by 20%, automatically taking profit of 12,000 U — the longer you watch the market, the easier it is to be deceived by noise.
2. The simpler the task, the easier it is to execute.
Xiao Zhang used to learn 13 technical indicators, but he always hesitated when placing orders. Now he only has a single ETH K-line on his phone, spending 5 minutes each day to place orders, and he never hesitates to sell when he should. Complex methods leave room for 'making excuses,' while simple rules can only be executed or not executed.
3. Be friends with the trend, don’t argue with the market.
Last year, when the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, the group was shouting 'BTC will drop back to 10,000 dollars,' but I continued to go long on ETH (still above the 20-day moving average), and ended up making a 30% profit against the trend. The trend is more reliable than news, and prices are more honest than experts.
Three great truths for a player with 3000U.
If you currently have only 3000U, remember:
Tonight, delete all coins except ETH/BTC; keeping just one is enough. Having one more coin means ten times the risk.
Convert 3000U into 3 portions of 1000U, storing them in three sub-accounts; the money in the left pocket must not be moved to the right pocket.
Tomorrow, place orders near the 20-day moving average, set a 3% stop loss, and then close the software to do whatever else you need to do.
Next Monday, I will take 10 people for practical operations, monitoring the entire process from placing orders to taking profits, starting with 3000U, aiming for a 5-fold increase by the end of the year. If you want to break free from the cycle of 'learning a bunch of techniques and still losing,' you can follow me — the explosive profits in the crypto world have never been in complex analyses, but in the persistence of executing simple tasks to the extreme.
Remember: the distance to 600,000 U might just be the courage to 'only trade one coin, only go in one direction.' Starting now, be a little dumber and a little tougher, and the money will come to you.